TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$126,324,530
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,434,646,834
406,019
Markets across
30,401
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,689
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 6, 5:10 AM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Alex Hernandez and Cem Ilkel in the Istanbul 3, Turkiye, Qualifying, originally scheduled for September 6, 2026 at 3:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Alex Hernandez' if Alex Hernandez advances against Cem Ilkel. This market will resolve to 'Cem Ilkel' if Cem Ilkel advances against Alex Hernandez. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by September 20, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Alex Hernandez and Cem Ilkel in the Istanbul 3, Turkiye, Qualifying, originally scheduled for September 6, 2026 at 3:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Alex Hernandez' if Alex Hernandez advances against Cem Ilkel. This market will resolve to 'Cem Ilkel' if Cem Ilkel advances against Alex Hernandez. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by September 20, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Prediction market odds often reflect a different perspective than traditional sportsbooks. While sportsbooks set lines to balance action and incorporate a profit margin, this market represents the collective wisdom of traders who are incentivized to make accurate predictions. You may find that the implied probabilities from Polymarket differ from those offered by sportsbooks, particularly as new information emerges or public sentiment shifts. These differences can arise from varying levels of expertise, access to information, and risk tolerance among market participants.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the outcome. The price of a share directly reflects the probability of that outcome occurring, as perceived by the market. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate and new information becomes available, the price adjusts to reflect the evolving consensus. This dynamic pricing ensures that the market remains responsive to changes in expectations surrounding the Hernandez vs Ilkel fight.
This market resolves around Sep 13, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Resolution will be based on the official result of the Hernandez vs Ilkel fight, as declared by the relevant sporting authority. The fighter who is officially declared the winner will determine the outcome of this market. Traders will be able to claim their winnings based on the final result and their holdings in the winning outcome shares.
Several signals could significantly influence this market before Sep 13, 2026. Any news regarding fighter injuries, changes in training regimens, or even pre-fight press conference statements could shift trader sentiment. Unexpected betting patterns in traditional sportsbooks might also draw attention and impact trading activity. Furthermore, analysis from MMA experts and public polls regarding the likely winner could all contribute to price movements in this market, as traders adjust their positions based on new information and perceived probabilities.