TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$133,388,117
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,436,095,462
405,232
Markets across
30,526
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,693
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Aug 4, 12:32 PM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Kenta Miyoshi and Arda Azkara in the Istanbul 2, originally scheduled for August 4, 2026 at 9:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Kenta Miyoshi' if Kenta Miyoshi advances against Arda Azkara. This market will resolve to 'Arda Azkara' if Arda Azkara advances against Kenta Miyoshi. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Kenta Miyoshi and Arda Azkara in the Istanbul 2, originally scheduled for August 4, 2026 at 9:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Kenta Miyoshi' if Kenta Miyoshi advances against Arda Azkara. This market will resolve to 'Arda Azkara' if Arda Azkara advances against Kenta Miyoshi. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Prediction market odds in this market often differ from traditional sportsbook lines due to the decentralized nature of trading. While sportsbooks may set their lines based on analytics and risk management, prediction markets let traders bet directly on their beliefs, which can lead to sharper or more volatile pricing. Traders should compare both sources to spot potential value, as each reflects different types of crowd wisdom and incentives.
On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. On Polymarket, traders collectively set the price through their bets, which determines the implied probability for each outcome. The current top outcome reflects the consensus view of active participants, and any shifts in betting volume or new information about the fighters can quickly change these prices. This dynamic pricing mechanism allows for real-time adjustments based on market sentiment.
This market resolves around Aug 11, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The result is determined by the official declaration of the winner, which is then matched against the market’s defined outcomes. Traders can expect a swift resolution once the fight concludes and the results are widely reported.
Key signals such as fighter injuries, training updates, or changes in betting momentum could move this market before it resolves. Media coverage, pre-fight analytics, and shifts in public sentiment also play a role. Traders should monitor news feeds and volume trends on Polymarket to anticipate potential price swings as the event draws nearer.