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Closed: Sep 27, 6:46 PM EST
Polymarket
In the upcoming match between Israel and Republic of Ireland, scheduled for September 27, 2026 at 2:45 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Israel" if Israel are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. This market will resolve to "Republic of Ireland" if Republic of Ireland are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. If neither team scores within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time, this market will resolve "Neither". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to "Neither". This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. Extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, data from Flashscore may be used; if Flashscore data is unavailable, data from Sofascore may be used; if neither is available, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome. If no acceptable data is available within 24 hours of the event's conclusion, this market will resolve 50-50, or to "Draw" where applicable.
In the upcoming match between Israel and Republic of Ireland, scheduled for September 27, 2026 at 2:45 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Israel" if Israel are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. This market will resolve to "Republic of Ireland" if Republic of Ireland are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. If neither team scores within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time, this market will resolve "Neither". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to "Neither". This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. Extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, data from Flashscore may be used; if Flashscore data is unavailable, data from Sofascore may be used; if neither is available, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome. If no acceptable data is available within 24 hours of the event's conclusion, this market will resolve 50-50, or to "Draw" where applicable.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd and can differ from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks often set initial lines based on statistical models and expert analysis, but may also incorporate a profit margin. This market, however, is driven by the collective predictions of traders who are incentivized to accurately forecast the outcome. Discrepancies can arise due to differing information, biases, or simply the dynamic nature of both markets. It’s common to see prediction markets adjust more quickly to new information than sportsbooks.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in each outcome. The price of a share directly reflects the implied probability of that outcome occurring. As more traders buy shares in a particular outcome, its price increases, and vice versa. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The market's price movements are driven by supply and demand, with traders attempting to profit from correctly predicting which team will score first. This creates a dynamic and efficient price discovery process.
This market resolves around Sep 27, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Resolution will depend on determining which team – Israel or the Republic of Ireland – scores the first goal in the match. The result will be based on official match data and sources. The platform will verify the outcome against these sources to ensure accuracy and finalize the settlement of the market for all traders.
Several signals could significantly impact this market. Any news regarding key player injuries or suspensions for either Israel or the Republic of Ireland would likely cause price fluctuations. Changes in team formations or tactical approaches announced before the match could also influence trader sentiment. Additionally, weather conditions on match day, or even pre-match analysis from respected football commentators, could shift the perceived probabilities. Unexpected news related to team morale or internal conflicts could also move the market as traders react to new information.