TOTAL VOLUME:

$134.1b

24H VOL:

$113,466,932

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2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,423,222,590

402,751

Markets across

30,217

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,632

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

Kalshi:

61%

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Israel vs. Republic of Ireland
kalshi
predict
polymarket

What is the result of Israel vs. Republic of Ireland?

Volume:
$1,454,667

Ireland

all

3 markets

Kalshi

Polymarket

Predict

consensus

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Sep 27, 2026

Closed: Sep 27, 4:40 PM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Ireland

View
100%
64%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$423,427
N/A
N/A
$312,754
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Republic of Ireland

View
100%
64%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$233,837
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
predict

IRE

View
99%
62%
Yes 99¢No 1¢
—
$17,114
$80,301
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
predict

Draw

View
1%
29%
Yes 1¢No 99¢
—
$160
$27,689
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Tie

View
0%
30%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$89,403
N/A
N/A
$63,069
Settled
No
polymarket

Draw (Israel vs. Republic of Ireland)

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$74,641
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
predict

ISR

View
1%
34%
Yes 1¢No 99¢
—
$192
$14,501
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Israel

View
0%
34%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$288,452
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Israel

View
0%
35%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$222,414
N/A
N/A
$170,470
Settled
No
Total markets: 9

Intro

This market tracks whether the Republic of Ireland will win their UEFA Nations League soccer match against Israel. Currently, the aggregated probability of a Republic of Ireland win is 100.0%. This consensus view combines data from Kalshi, Predict, and Polymarket, with resolution based on official match statistics from https://www.uefa.com/uefanationsleague/. Keep an eye on the match itself, scheduled for September 27, 2026, as the outcome will determine market settlement.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Divergence Detected

Issue: Cancellation handling is not consistent across platforms, creating potential resolution discrepancies if the match is canceled without a reschedule.Hero tip: Consider the risk of a complete cancellation and the potential for differing resolutions. Polymarket will resolve to 'No' in that case, while Kalshi's outcome is less defined.

Critical divergence points:

  • Polymarket: Resolves to 'No' if the game is canceled entirely with no make-up game. Uses a tiered source hierarchy (official stats -> Flashscore -> Sofascore -> consensus).
  • Kalshi: Does not explicitly address complete cancellation. Resolves based on 90 minutes + stoppage time. No fallback source hierarchy is specified.
  • Predict: Does not explicitly address complete cancellation. Resolves to 'No' if Israel doesn't win, 'Yes' if Israel wins, or 'No' if Ireland doesn't win. Uses a tiered source hierarchy (official stats -> Flashscore -> Sofascore -> consensus).
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.

Polymarket

This event is for the upcoming UEFA Nations League game, scheduled for Sunday, September 27, 2026 between Israel and Republic of Ireland.

Kalshi

The market resolves based on the result of the Israel vs Ireland UEFA Nations League soccer match scheduled for September 27, 2026, after 90 minutes plus stoppage time. A win for Israel resolves the 'Israel' market to Yes; a win for Ireland resolves the 'Ireland' market to Yes; a tie resolves the 'Tie' market to Yes. If the match is cancelled or rescheduled to more than 48 hours later, all markets resolve to a fair price. The markets are independent of league affiliations and trademarks remain property of respective owners.

Predict

This event is for the upcoming UEFA Nations League game, scheduled for Sunday, September 27, 2026 between Israel and Republic of Ireland.

Frequently asked questions

Prediction market odds, like those displayed for this market, often differ from traditional sportsbook odds due to the nature of how they are determined. Sportsbooks set odds based on their own models and aim to profit by balancing risk, while prediction markets are driven by the collective opinions of traders who have 'skin in the game.' This can lead to prediction markets being more accurate, especially when there’s a significant amount of volume. Furthermore, prediction markets can offer a wider range of betting options than many sportsbooks. The current volume for this market is $1,454,667, indicating active trading and a potentially insightful forecast.