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Israel vs. Poland
polymarket
kalshi

What is the result of Israel vs Poland?

Volume:
$49,859

Poland

 - Kalshi

Poland - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Aug 27, 2026

Closed: Aug 27, 4:04 PM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Poland

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$30,359
N/A
N/A
$22,432
Settled
Yes
polymarket

O/U 171.5

View
100%
57%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
1¢
N/A
$1,144
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Israel

View
0%
40%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$15,878
N/A
N/A
$11,957
Settled
No
polymarket

Israel (-3.5)

View
0%
98%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$70
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Israel vs. Poland

View
0%
32%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$2,407
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
Total markets: 5

Description

This event group concerns the outcome of the men's professional FIBA World Cup Qualifiers basketball game between Poland and Israel, originally scheduled for August 27, 2026.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Divergence Detected

Issue: Fundamental market structure mismatch between binary outcome (Polymarket) and Yes/No format (Kalshi)Hero tip: Avoid cross-platform hedging; focus trades on one platform's resolution logic. Polymarket offers clearer binary outcomes while Kalshi requires careful interpretation of its Yes/No structure

Critical divergence points:

  • Polymarket: Binary market resolving to "Israel" if Israel wins, "Poland" if Poland wins, remaining open if postponed, resolving 50-50 if canceled with no makeup game. Result determined by final score including overtime.
  • Kalshi: Yes/No market resolving to Yes regardless of winner if game occurs, creating structural divergence from Polymarket's binary format
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.

Polymarket

In the upcoming FIBA WCQ Europe game, scheduled for August 27 at 6:00AM ET: If the Israel win, the market will resolve to "Israel". If the Poland win, the market will resolve to "Poland". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50. The result will be determined based on the final score including any overtime periods.

Kalshi

The event determines the winner of the Poland vs. Israel men’s professional FIBA World Cup Qualifiers basketball game scheduled for August 27, 2026, at 2:00 PM EDT. If Israel wins, the Israel market resolves to Yes, and the Poland market resolves to No. Conversely, if Poland wins, the Poland market resolves to Yes, and the Israel market resolves to No. Should the game be postponed but commence within 48 hours of the original start time, both markets remain open and resolve based on the final official result. If the game is cancelled or fails to start within the 48-hour window, all markets resolve to a fair price, ensuring equitable treatment for all participants. Kalshi explicitly disclaims any affiliation with the governing league, and all trademarks remain property of their respective owners.

Frequently asked questions

The dashboard for the Israel vs. Poland matchup market aggregates real-time data from multiple platforms, showing how traders price the likelihood of each outcome across venues. It displays current probabilities, volume of $49,859, and 24-hour volume of $49,306, letting you see consensus views and divergences. Because this market is followed on several prediction markets, the dashboard helps you spot shifts in sentiment as the event approaches.