TOTAL VOLUME:

$134.1b

24H VOL:

$141,541,542

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,440,096,988

406,065

Markets across

30,522

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,692

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

Kalshi:

61%

BETA
Dashboards
Tour
All
Sports
Israel vs Ireland: Spread
kalshi

What is the result of Israel vs Ireland?

Volume:
$44,808

Ireland wins by more than 2.5 goals

 - Kalshi

Ireland wins by more than 2.5 goals - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Sep 27, 2026

Closed: Sep 27, 4:38 PM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Ireland wins by more than 2.5 goals

View
100%
92%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$14,585
N/A
N/A
$10,615
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Ireland wins by more than 1.5 goals

100%
83%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$5,307
N/A
N/A
$2,858
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Israel wins by more than 1.5 goals

0%
15%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$14,078
N/A
N/A
$12,108
Settled
No
kalshi

Ireland wins by more than 3.5 goals

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$7,226
N/A
N/A
$4,540
Settled
No
kalshi

Israel wins by more than 2.5 goals

0%
6%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$2,209
N/A
N/A
$1,863
Settled
No
kalshi

Ireland wins by more than 4.5 goals

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$1,403
N/A
N/A
$1,292
Settled
No
Total markets: 6

Description

This event tracks the outcome of a soccer match between Israel and Ireland, focusing on the margin of victory for either team. The result depends on whether the winning team achieves a specified goal differential threshold. These thresholds vary depending on which team wins and by how many goals.

Kalshi

The event resolves based on the goal differential by which either Israel or Ireland wins the professional UEFA Nations League soccer match originally scheduled for September 27, 2026. Four distinct outcomes are defined, each corresponding to a specific winning margin: Israel winning by more than 2.5 goals, Israel winning by more than 1.5 goals, Ireland winning by more than 1.5 goals, or Ireland winning by more than 2.5 goals. The match result is determined after 90 minutes of regular play plus any stoppage time, excluding extra time or penalty kicks. All resolutions are independent of any official affiliations between the platform and the governing league, and all trademarks remain property of their respective owners.

Frequently asked questions

On Kalshi, the dashboard for the Israel vs Ireland match tracks the current odds, price history, and 24-hour trading volume. You can see how the implied probability of different outcomes shifts over time, as well as the total volume traded in this market, currently at $44,808. The 24-hour volume is $36,540, indicating recent interest. This allows you to gauge market sentiment and activity surrounding the event. The dashboard provides a real-time view of how traders are assessing the potential results of the match.

Prediction market odds often reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse group of traders, potentially differing from sportsbook odds which may be influenced by factors like house biases or public perception. Sportsbooks typically set initial lines to balance betting action, while this market’s prices are determined solely by supply and demand. If a significant disparity exists between prediction market prices and sportsbook odds, it could indicate a perceived mispricing or differing expectations about the Israel vs Ireland match. It’s important to consider both sources when forming your own assessment.

On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing different outcomes. The price of each contract reflects the market’s current expectation of that outcome’s probability. As more traders buy contracts for a particular outcome, the price increases, and vice versa. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The market depth and trading volume influence how quickly prices adjust to new information or changing sentiment regarding the Israel vs Ireland match. Traders are essentially betting against each other, creating a dynamic pricing mechanism.

This market resolves around Sep 28, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the result of the Israel vs Ireland match is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the final score of the match, determining the winning side and the margin of victory. The platform will verify the result against official sources to ensure accuracy and transparency. Traders holding contracts corresponding to the correct outcome will receive a payout based on the final market price at resolution.

Several factors could influence the price of this market leading up to Sep 28, 2026. Any news regarding team injuries, changes in player lineups, or significant shifts in team form could impact trader sentiment. Unexpected weather conditions or controversies surrounding the match could also contribute to price movements. Furthermore, large trading volume from informed traders or institutions could signal a change in expectations about the Israel vs Ireland match, causing the market to react accordingly. Monitoring these signals can help you understand potential shifts in the market’s outlook.