TOTAL VOLUME:
$134b
24H VOL:
$107,351,958
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,416,970,024
400,720
Markets across
30,097
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,633
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Jul 6, 4:00 PM EST
Kalshi
Israel and Croatia compete in a FIBA World Cup Qualifiers basketball game on July 6, 2026. The winner takes a step forward in their World Cup qualification campaign.
Resolution is based on the final result of the professional FIBA World Cup Qualifiers basketball game between Israel and Croatia scheduled for July 6, 2026 at 2:00 PM EDT. If the game is postponed or delayed, the market remains open and resolves after the rescheduled game concludes, provided the reschedule occurs within two weeks. Should the game be cancelled or rescheduled beyond two weeks, the market resolves to a fair price for each team in accordance with established rules.
Prediction market odds and sportsbook odds often diverge because they reflect different participant bases and incentive structures. Sportsbooks set lines to balance action and manage risk, while prediction markets aggregate the beliefs of traders who profit or lose based on accuracy. This market may show higher or lower implied probabilities than traditional sportsbooks, depending on whether informed traders see value the books have missed. Comparing the two can reveal where market participants believe an edge exists.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order-book mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing each outcome. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The price of each share reflects the collective belief of all participants about the likelihood of that result. As new information emerges or trading volume shifts, prices adjust in real time. You can enter limit or market orders to position yourself, and the spread between bid and ask prices indicates the current liquidity and confidence around the match outcome.
This market resolves around Jul 6, 2026, once the Israel vs Croatia football match concludes and the result is verifiable from credible public reporting. The outcome will reflect the official final score and result as confirmed by established sports authorities and media. Until that time, prices will continue to fluctuate based on team news, betting patterns, and any other factors traders believe affect the likelihood of each outcome.
Key injury announcements, lineup changes, or roster updates for either team can shift trader sentiment significantly. Recent form, head-to-head records, and performance in qualifying rounds will influence positioning as the match approaches. Weather conditions, venue factors, and any off-field developments affecting team morale may also trigger repricing. As the match date nears, late-breaking news and final team confirmations often drive sharp moves, while in-game developments after kickoff will drive the final resolution.