TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$141,541,542
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,440,096,988
406,065
Markets across
30,522
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,692
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Jun 3, 5:30 PM EST
Limitless
This market will resolve to "YES" if Israel wins by 2 or more goals against Albania during regular time (90 minutes plus stoppage time only) in the Friendlies match scheduled for June 3, 2026, 18:00 UTC. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "NO." If the match is canceled after it starts, this market will resolve based on official data recorded up to that point. If the match is canceled entirely before it starts or postponed/rescheduled to a restart date later than August 3, 2026, 23:59 UTC, this market will resolve to "NO."
On Limitless, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. On Limitless, this outcome is priced according to the order-book model, where buyers and sellers directly negotiate share prices between 0 and 1 (or 0% and 100% implied probability). The current price reflects the most recent trade; as fresh money enters or exits, the price adjusts. Traders holding shares profit if Israel wins by 2 or more goals; those short the contract profit if the outcome does not occur. Liquidity and trading volume on Limitless determine how quickly prices respond to breaking news or shifting expectations about team form, injuries, or tactical changes.
The market resolves on Jun 4, 2026, after the final whistle of the Israel vs Albania match. Resolution is determined by the official final score: if Israel wins by exactly 2 goals or more, the outcome resolves to yes; any other result (Israel win by 1, draw, or loss) resolves to no. The resolution uses authoritative sports data sources to confirm the final scoreline. Traders should monitor team news, lineups, and venue conditions in the days leading up to kickoff, as these factors influence the likelihood of a decisive Israeli victory.
Key catalysts include confirmed team lineups and injury updates, especially for Israel's attacking players or Albania's defensive leaders. Tactical announcements or recent form trends—such as Israel's goal-scoring rate or Albania's defensive record—can shift market odds significantly. Pre-match analysis from credible sports analysts and betting syndicates may also influence trader positioning. Weather conditions, venue factors, and any late-breaking news about player availability will be priced in as kickoff approaches. Close to Jun 4, 2026, sharp traders often react to final team news, creating volatility in the final hours before the match begins.