TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$133,388,117
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,436,095,462
405,232
Markets across
30,526
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,693
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Aug 16, 12:24 AM EST
Kalshi
This market tracks whether the Islam Makhachev vs Ian Machado Garry fight, originally scheduled for August 15, 2026, will go the distance on Kalshi, with the current probability of the leading outcome at 42.0%. The resolution source is directly tied to whether the scheduled fight goes the distance. Watch for updates as the event approaches its scheduled date on August 15, 2026, as this will be the key catalyst for market movement.
If the Islam Makhachev vs. Ian Machado Garry 330 fight originally scheduled for Aug 15, 2026 goes the distance, then the market resolves to Yes.
This market resolves around Aug 16, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The result depends on whether the bout ends before the scheduled rounds are completed, as officially recorded by event organizers and widely reported media. Traders should monitor reputable sports news sources for timely confirmation of the result after the fight concludes.
Several signals could shift prices in this market before it settles. Key events include pre-fight media appearances, training camp updates, injury reports, and changes in betting volumes on related markets. Any indication that a fighter might struggle with stamina, strategy, or health could sway trader sentiment. Additionally, broad shifts in combat sports popularity or major upsets in similar matchups may influence how participants price the likelihood of an early finish versus a full-distance bout.