TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$113,466,932
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,423,222,590
402,751
Markets across
30,217
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,632
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Jul 1, 7:43 AM EST
Limitless
This market will resolve to "YES" if Alexander Isak records a strictly greater total of shots on target than Ousmane Dembélé in the France vs Sweden FIFA World Cup Round of 32 match scheduled for June 30, 2026, 21:00 UTC (including extra time if played), as reported in the FBRef.com match report for this specific game. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "NO." Shots on target (SoT) will be determined using the "SoT" column for Alexander Isak in the Sweden Player Stats section and Ousmane Dembélé in the France Player Stats section. For the purposes of this market, if either Alexander Isak or Ousmane Dembélé is not listed in the respective team's Player Stats section of the FBRef.com match report for this specific game, that player's shots on target value will be considered as 0. If the match is not played and completed with an official result by August 30, 2026, 12:00 UTC, the market will resolve to "NO." If the data on the website is unavailable for 72 hours after the match is completed, a consensus of credible reporting will be used.
This market will resolve to "YES" if Alexander Isak records a strictly greater total of shots on target than Ousmane Dembélé in the France vs Sweden FIFA World Cup Round of 32 match scheduled for June 30, 2026, 21:00 UTC (including extra time if played), as reported in the FBRef.com match report for this specific game. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "NO." Shots on target (SoT) will be determined using the "SoT" column for Alexander Isak in the Sweden Player Stats section and Ousmane Dembélé in the France Player Stats section. For the purposes of this market, if either Alexander Isak or Ousmane Dembélé is not listed in the respective team's Player Stats section of the FBRef.com match report for this specific game, that player's shots on target value will be considered as 0. If the match is not played and completed with an official result by August 30, 2026, 12:00 UTC, the market will resolve to "NO." If the data on the website is unavailable for 72 hours after the match is completed, a consensus of credible reporting will be used.
Prediction market odds and sportsbook odds often diverge because they reflect different liquidity pools and trader bases. Sportsbooks set odds to balance their book and manage risk, while prediction markets like this one price outcomes based on what traders collectively believe will happen. Prediction markets can sometimes offer sharper, more efficient pricing because participants have direct financial incentive to forecast accurately. However, sportsbooks may move faster on breaking news. Comparing this market's odds to major sportsbook lines on the same event can reveal arbitrage opportunities or signal where smart money is positioning.
On Limitless, this market is priced through an automated market maker or order-book mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing each outcome. On Limitless, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The price of each share reflects the implied probability that Isak will record more shots on target than Dembélé. As traders place bets, the price adjusts in real time based on supply and demand. Liquidity and trading volume directly influence how tightly prices are quoted and how easily large positions can be entered or exited without significant slippage.
This market resolves around Jul 1, 2026, once the match concludes and official shot-on-target statistics are available. The outcome is determined by comparing verified shot-on-target counts for both players from credible public sources, including official match records and major sports data providers. Whichever player records the higher number of shots on target wins the market for those who backed that outcome. Early resolution may occur if one outcome becomes mathematically impossible before the final whistle.
Several factors could shift odds in this market before Jul 1, 2026. Team news—such as injuries, suspensions, or lineup changes—affecting either player's availability or starting status will influence expectations. Tactical announcements or manager comments about attacking strategy can signal how aggressively each team will pursue shots. Recent form, head-to-head matchups, and opponent defensive strength also matter. Late-breaking information about pitch conditions, weather, or venue factors may affect shot volume. As match day nears, final team sheets and pre-match betting activity typically drive the largest price movements.