TOTAL VOLUME:
$134b
24H VOL:
$103,397,351
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,410,176,180
399,592
Markets across
30,097
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,622
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Jun 16, 8:01 PM EST
Kalshi
This market tracks whether Norway will defeat Iraq by more than 1.5 goals in their FIFA World Cup soccer match. On Kalshi, the probability that Norway wins by over 1.5 goals stands at 36.0%, while the probability of Norway winning by over 2.5 goals is 9.0%. Resolution is determined by the official result after 90 minutes plus stoppage time on June 16, 2026. Watch the match outcome on June 17, 2026, when Kalshi settles the market based on the final goal differential.
Resolution is based on the goal margin between Iraq and Norway in their FIFA World Cup match scheduled for June 16, 2026, measured after 90 minutes plus stoppage time (excluding extra time or penalties). Markets resolve to Yes if Iraq wins by more than 1.5 or 2.5 goals, or if Norway wins by more than 1.5 or 2.5 goals, depending on the specific outcome selected.
Prediction market odds on Kalshi often diverge from traditional sportsbook odds because they reflect real-time trader sentiment rather than fixed bookmaker lines. Sportsbooks adjust odds to balance liability and lock in margins, while prediction markets aggregate distributed beliefs from many participants. For Iraq vs Norway: Spread, comparing Kalshi prices to major sportsbooks can reveal whether traders are more or less confident than oddsmakers. These differences highlight arbitrage opportunities and show where consensus opinion may diverge from professional betting markets.
On Kalshi, Iraq vs Norway: Spread is priced as a binary contract reflecting trader expectations of the final spread outcome. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The contract price moves continuously as new information arrives and traders adjust positions. Kalshi's order-book model allows you to place limit or market orders directly against other traders. Prices range from near zero to near one hundred, with higher prices indicating greater perceived likelihood of the outcome. Volume and bid-ask spreads on Kalshi show liquidity depth, helping you assess execution costs and market confidence in the pricing.
The Iraq vs Norway: Spread market resolves on Jun 17, 2026. Resolution is determined by the final spread outcome of the match between Iraq and Norway. The specific spread threshold and which team must cover it are defined in the market's resolution criteria. Once the match concludes and official results are confirmed, the market settles based on whether the spread condition is met. Traders should review the exact spread definition and any tie-breaking rules before placing positions to ensure clarity on how their outcome will be determined.
Iraq vs Norway: Spread odds will likely shift in response to team roster changes, injury announcements, and recent form updates. Pre-match analysis from sports analysts and expert predictions can influence trader sentiment. Weather conditions, venue factors, and head-to-head historical performance may also drive repricing. Major news about player availability or tactical changes weeks before Jun 17, 2026 often triggers significant moves. As match day approaches, late-breaking updates and final team lineups typically cause sharp volatility. Live betting sentiment and social media discussion can amplify these moves, especially in the hours immediately before kickoff.