TOTAL VOLUME:

$134.1b

24H VOL:

$141,541,542

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,440,096,988

406,065

Markets across

30,522

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,692

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

Kalshi:

61%

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Iraq vs. Norway - Player Props
predict
kalshi
polymarket

Iraq vs. Norway - Player Props

Volume:
$937,435

Erling Haaland: 1+ goals

all

2 markets

Polymarket

Kalshi

consensus

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Jul 17, 2026

Closed: Jun 16, 6:00 PM EST

polymarket

Polymarket

View
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
polymarket

Erling Haaland: 1+ goals

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$89,846
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Erling Haaland

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$41,755
N/A
N/A
$33,856
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Martin Odegaard

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$77,605
N/A
N/A
$67,131
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Martin Ødegaard: 1+ goals

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$2,656
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Erling Haaland: 2+ goals

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$35,959
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Aymen Hussein

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$8,613
N/A
N/A
$6,816
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Aymen Hussein: 1+ goals

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$1,236
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Martin Ødegaard: 1+ assists

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$3,614
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

David Moller Wolfe

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$2,826
N/A
N/A
$2,540
Settled
Yes
polymarket

David Møller Wolfe: 1+ goals

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$919
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Alexander Sørloth: 2+ shots

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
20¢
N/A
$698
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Amir Al-Ammari

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$679
N/A
N/A
$595
Settled
Yes
polymarket

David Møller Wolfe: 1+ assists

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$638
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Erling Haaland: 4+ shots on target

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
19.8¢
N/A
$553
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Ali Al Hamadi: 3+ shots

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
19.8¢
N/A
$546
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Erling Haaland: 2+ shots on target

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
1¢
N/A
$389
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Erling Haaland: 1+ goals + assists

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$267
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Martin Ødegaard: 1+ goals + assists

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
19.9¢
N/A
$264
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Kristian Thorstvedt: 1+ shots

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
1¢
N/A
$200
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Alexander Sørloth: 1+ shots

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$152
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Leo Østigård: 1+ goals

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$137
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Erling Haaland: 1+ shots on target

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
1¢
N/A
$108
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Kristian Thorstvedt: 2+ shots

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
19.9¢
N/A
$89
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Erling Haaland: 3+ shots on target

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
19¢
N/A
$58
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Martin Ødegaard: 1+ shots

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$51
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
Total markets: 25 of 271

Intro

This event group tracks individual player performance in the Iraq vs. Norway FIFA World Cup match scheduled for June 16, 2026. The consensus across Predict, Kalshi, and Polymarket shows Ali Al Hamadi recording 3 or more shots at 99.8%, according to FIFA's official records. Markets within this group cover player goals, assists, shots, shots on target, combined goal-assist totals, goalkeeper saves, and team spreads. Watch for the match kickoff on June 16, 2026 at 6:00 PM ET, as resolution divergence alerts flag differences in how platforms define the time window for certain player props.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Divergence Detected

Issue: Player performance props (goals, assists, shots) and goalkeeper saves resolve over different time windows: Polymarket limits to 90 minutes + stoppage time only, while Kalshi includes extra time periods. This creates a settlement mismatch if the match extends beyond regular time.Hero tip: If trading player props across platforms, be aware that Polymarket markets close at the 90-minute mark (plus stoppage), while Kalshi markets remain open through extra time. A goal in extra time counts on Kalshi but not Polymarket. Hedge accordingly or choose one platform based on your risk tolerance for match extensions.

Critical divergence points:

  • Polymarket: All player goal, assist, shot, and shot-on-target markets resolve on official box score within first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time only. Explicitly states extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. Key quote: 'This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. Extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded.'
  • Kalshi: Player goal/assist markets resolve on entire game including regulation, stoppage, and any extra time periods. Does not explicitly exclude extra time like Polymarket does. Key quote: 'If [player] records a goal or assist during the entire game (regulation, stoppage and any extra time periods)...then the market resolves to Yes.'
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.

Polymarket

Goal scorer markets for the FIFA World Cup game between Iraq and Norway, scheduled for June 16 at 6:00 PM ET.

Kalshi

Each player market resolves to Yes if that player records at least one goal or one assist during the entire Iraq vs Norway FIFA World Cup match on June 16, 2026, encompassing regulation time, stoppage time, and any extra time periods. Markets are evaluated only once a player enters the game; if a player remains on the bench throughout, the market settles to the last fair market price before kickoff. Resolution is based on official goal and assist records for the match.

Predict

More markets for the FIFA World Cup game, scheduled for June 16 at 6:00 PM ET.

Frequently asked questions

The Iraq vs. Norway - Player Props dashboard aggregates real-time odds and trading activity across Polymarket and Kalshi, tracking player-level outcomes such as goal totals and performance thresholds. You can monitor the consensus probability for each prop, compare liquidity and volume across venues, and observe how odds shift as new information emerges. The dashboard surfaces the top outcomes by trading interest, helping you identify which player props are drawing the most market attention and capital allocation across the prediction market ecosystem.

Prediction markets like Polymarket and Kalshi operate independently from traditional sportsbooks, often reflecting different liquidity pools, participant bases, and risk models. Sportsbooks set odds to balance liability and extract margin, while prediction markets aggregate trader beliefs through continuous order flow. For Iraq vs. Norway player props, prediction market odds may diverge from sportsbook lines due to differences in available information, trader sophistication, and the absence of a built-in house edge. Comparing both sources can reveal arbitrage opportunities or consensus shifts in how the market values individual player performance.

Polymarket and Kalshi can show different implied probabilities for the same outcome because of liquidity, fee structure, participant mix, and how each venue defines the contract. Each platform attracts distinct trader demographics, operates different fee structures, and may have varying liquidity depth for specific props. Polymarket and Kalshi also process information at different speeds and may weight recent news or injury updates differently. Smaller player prop markets can experience wider bid-ask spreads and slower price discovery, allowing temporary mispricings to persist. Additionally, platform-specific incentives, promotional activity, or differences in user interface can influence which outcomes attract capital, causing odds to diverge until arbitrageurs exploit the gap.

Key catalysts include team lineup announcements, injury reports for featured players, recent form and goal-scoring trends, and tactical adjustments by either side. Pre-match press conferences may reveal starting XI changes or player fitness status, directly impacting individual prop odds. Live match events such as early goals, red cards, or substitutions will drive rapid repricing of player performance props. Additionally, weather conditions, venue factors, and historical head-to-head patterns can influence how traders adjust their expectations for player output, causing significant shifts in Polymarket and Kalshi odds as the match approaches and unfolds.