TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$141,541,542
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,440,096,988
406,065
Markets across
30,522
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,692
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Jun 16, 6:00 PM EST
Polymarket
This event group tracks individual player performance in the Iraq vs. Norway FIFA World Cup match scheduled for June 16, 2026. The consensus across Predict, Kalshi, and Polymarket shows Ali Al Hamadi recording 3 or more shots at 99.8%, according to FIFA's official records. Markets within this group cover player goals, assists, shots, shots on target, combined goal-assist totals, goalkeeper saves, and team spreads. Watch for the match kickoff on June 16, 2026 at 6:00 PM ET, as resolution divergence alerts flag differences in how platforms define the time window for certain player props.
Goal scorer markets for the FIFA World Cup game between Iraq and Norway, scheduled for June 16 at 6:00 PM ET.
Each player market resolves to Yes if that player records at least one goal or one assist during the entire Iraq vs Norway FIFA World Cup match on June 16, 2026, encompassing regulation time, stoppage time, and any extra time periods. Markets are evaluated only once a player enters the game; if a player remains on the bench throughout, the market settles to the last fair market price before kickoff. Resolution is based on official goal and assist records for the match.
More markets for the FIFA World Cup game, scheduled for June 16 at 6:00 PM ET.
Prediction markets like Polymarket and Kalshi operate independently from traditional sportsbooks, often reflecting different liquidity pools, participant bases, and risk models. Sportsbooks set odds to balance liability and extract margin, while prediction markets aggregate trader beliefs through continuous order flow. For Iraq vs. Norway player props, prediction market odds may diverge from sportsbook lines due to differences in available information, trader sophistication, and the absence of a built-in house edge. Comparing both sources can reveal arbitrage opportunities or consensus shifts in how the market values individual player performance.
Polymarket and Kalshi can show different implied probabilities for the same outcome because of liquidity, fee structure, participant mix, and how each venue defines the contract. Each platform attracts distinct trader demographics, operates different fee structures, and may have varying liquidity depth for specific props. Polymarket and Kalshi also process information at different speeds and may weight recent news or injury updates differently. Smaller player prop markets can experience wider bid-ask spreads and slower price discovery, allowing temporary mispricings to persist. Additionally, platform-specific incentives, promotional activity, or differences in user interface can influence which outcomes attract capital, causing odds to diverge until arbitrageurs exploit the gap.
Key catalysts include team lineup announcements, injury reports for featured players, recent form and goal-scoring trends, and tactical adjustments by either side. Pre-match press conferences may reveal starting XI changes or player fitness status, directly impacting individual prop odds. Live match events such as early goals, red cards, or substitutions will drive rapid repricing of player performance props. Additionally, weather conditions, venue factors, and historical head-to-head patterns can influence how traders adjust their expectations for player output, causing significant shifts in Polymarket and Kalshi odds as the match approaches and unfolds.