TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$130,522,377
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,438,389,636
404,028
Markets across
30,214
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,681
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Jun 16, 6:55 PM EST
Kalshi
A FIFA World Cup soccer match between two national teams scheduled for June 16, 2026, where the first-half margin of victory for either team exceeds a specified threshold.
Resolution is based on the goal margin between Iraq and Norway during the first half only of their FIFA World Cup match scheduled for June 16, 2026. Markets resolve to Yes if Iraq wins the first half by more than 1.5 goals or if Norway wins the first half by more than 1.5 goals. If the match is cancelled or rescheduled more than two weeks away, the market resolves to a fair price in accordance with the rules.
Prediction market odds on Kalshi reflect real-money trader positioning and often diverge from traditional analyst forecasts. While sports analysts may rely on team form, historical matchups, and tactical analysis, prediction markets incorporate live information and trader conviction. For Iraq vs Norway, comparing Kalshi odds to expert predictions and statistical models can reveal where the market is pricing in unique information or where consensus forecasts may underweight certain factors.
On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. Iraq vs Norway: First Half Spread on Kalshi is priced as a binary contract reflecting trader expectations of the first-half spread outcome. The contract price moves between 0 and 100 cents based on order flow and market depth. As match conditions, team news, or betting patterns shift, the price adjusts to reflect changing probabilities. Kalshi's transparent order book allows traders to see bids and offers in real time.
The Iraq vs Norway: First Half Spread market resolves on Jun 17, 2026. Resolution is determined by the official first-half score and the specified spread criteria for this event. Once the first half concludes and the final score is confirmed, the market settles based on whether the outcome meets the contract terms. Check the event details for the exact spread threshold and any tie-breaking rules.
Key catalysts for Iraq vs Norway: First Half Spread include team news such as injuries, lineup changes, or tactical shifts announced before kickoff. Early match momentum, possession patterns, and scoring opportunities in the opening minutes will influence trader sentiment. Weather conditions, referee decisions, and unexpected substitutions can also shift market odds. Live betting action and sharp money flowing into one side may signal confidence in a particular outcome, moving the price significantly.