TOTAL VOLUME:
$134b
24H VOL:
$103,397,351
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,410,176,180
399,592
Markets across
30,097
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,622
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Jun 16, 8:20 PM EST
Kalshi
This market tracks the exact final scoreline of the Iraq versus Norway FIFA World Cup soccer match on Kalshi. The leading outcome—Norway winning 3-1—carries a probability of 25.0%, while Norway winning 2-1 stands at 18.0%. Resolution is determined by the official final score after 90 minutes plus stoppage time as recorded in the professional FIFA World Cup game. Watch for the match conclusion on June 16, 2026, which will determine the final scoreline and settle all correct score outcomes.
The Iraq vs Norway match will be evaluated based on the final score after 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time, excluding any extra time or penalty shootout. Each Primary rule specifies a unique correct score outcome—ranging from 0-0 draws to various victory margins for either team. The market encompasses a comprehensive range of plausible scorelines, including draws (0-0, 1-1, 2-2, 3-3), Norway victories from 1-0 through 7-0 and 2-1 through 7-1, and Iraq victories from 1-0 through 3-2. Resolution depends solely on the official final score recorded by FIFA for the professional World Cup match as originally scheduled.
Prediction market odds and traditional sportsbook odds often diverge because they reflect different pricing mechanisms. Sportsbooks set lines to balance action and lock in profit margins, while prediction markets like this one are priced by traders seeking to profit on their forecasts. Prediction markets typically incorporate real-time information and can adjust faster than sportsbooks when new data surfaces. Comparing this market's odds to major sportsbook lines can reveal where consensus differs and highlight potential value opportunities for informed bettors.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order-book mechanism where traders buy and sell shares corresponding to each possible correct score outcome. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The price of each outcome reflects the collective belief of active traders at any given moment, with higher prices indicating greater perceived likelihood. Liquidity and trading volume influence how tightly prices cluster around fair value, and wider spreads may appear during low-activity periods.
This market resolves around Jun 17, 2026, once the Iraq versus Norway match concludes and the final score is verified against credible public sources. The outcome is determined by the exact number of goals scored by each team at the end of regular play. Resolution occurs after the match is officially completed and the score is confirmed by major sports reporting outlets, ensuring accuracy and fairness for all traders.
Several factors can shift odds in this market before Jun 17, 2026. Team news—including injuries to key players, lineup announcements, or tactical changes—often triggers sharp price moves. Recent form, head-to-head history, and weather conditions on match day can influence trader positioning. International football fixtures also respond to broader geopolitical or sporting context. As the match date nears, increased media coverage and expert analysis typically drive higher trading volume and tighter price discovery.