TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$113,466,932
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,423,222,590
402,751
Markets across
30,217
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,632
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Jun 16, 8:00 PM EST
Kalshi
A player from the Iraqi national team will compete to score during the 2026 Men's FIFA World Cup.
Goals are counted during regulation time, stoppage time, and extra time across all matches in which the player participates. Goals scored during penalty shootouts do not count. If a player does not enter any game during the tournament, their market resolves No. Players must participate in at least one match for their market to have a chance of resolving Yes.
Prediction market odds on Kalshi often diverge from traditional sportsbook odds because they reflect real-money positions from a diverse crowd of traders rather than bookmaker pricing models. Sportsbooks typically adjust odds to balance liability and extract margin, while prediction markets aggregate decentralized beliefs about which Iraq players will score. Comparing Kalshi odds to major sportsbooks reveals whether the crowd is more bullish or bearish on specific goalscorers. These differences can signal where informed traders see value, though sportsbook odds remain a useful benchmark for understanding broader market sentiment.
On Kalshi, Iraq: Goalscorers contracts are priced between 0 and 100 cents, where each cent represents a one percent implied probability that a specific player will score. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. Traders buy contracts at lower prices if they believe a goalscorer is undervalued, or sell at higher prices if they expect the probability to fall. Kalshi's order book displays live bids and asks for each goalscorer outcome, allowing traders to execute at market prices or place limit orders. The spread between bid and ask reflects liquidity and uncertainty; tighter spreads indicate higher confidence and trading activity around that particular scorer.
The Iraq: Goalscorers market resolves on Jul 20, 2026, after the final whistle of the relevant match or tournament phase. Resolution is determined by official match records and goal-scoring data from the governing body. Each goalscorer contract settles to 100 cents if that player scores at least one goal during the specified match window, or to 0 cents if they do not score. Contracts are independent, so multiple players can resolve to 100 if they all score in the same match. Traders should monitor team lineups and injury reports leading up to the resolution date.
Iraq: Goalscorers odds will shift based on team news, player injuries, lineup announcements, and recent form. If a key striker is ruled out or moved to the bench, their contract price typically falls sharply. Conversely, a player returning from injury or earning a starting role may see their odds rise. Pre-match press conferences, training reports, and official squad sheets are critical catalysts. Momentum from recent goals, changes in team tactics, and opponent strength also influence scorer probabilities. Weather conditions and venue details closer to kickoff can affect playing style and create opportunities for certain forwards, moving their odds in real time.