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OPEN INTEREST:
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400,720
Markets across
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events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,633
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Jun 16, 9:13 PM EST
Limitless
This market will resolve to "YES" if the combined total number of yellow and red cards received by Iraq and Norway (players only) is 4 or higher during regular time (90 minutes plus stoppage time only) in the World Cup match scheduled for June 16, 2026, 22:00 UTC. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "NO." If the match is canceled after it starts, this market will resolve based on official data recorded up to that point. If the match is canceled entirely before it starts or postponed/rescheduled to a restart date later than August 16, 2026, 23:59 UTC, this market will resolve to "NO."
This market will resolve to "YES" if the combined total number of yellow and red cards received by Iraq and Norway (players only) is 4 or higher during regular time (90 minutes plus stoppage time only) in the World Cup match scheduled for June 16, 2026, 22:00 UTC. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "NO." If the match is canceled after it starts, this market will resolve based on official data recorded up to that point. If the match is canceled entirely before it starts or postponed/rescheduled to a restart date later than August 16, 2026, 23:59 UTC, this market will resolve to "NO."
The market resolves on Jun 17, 2026. Resolution is determined by the final combined count of yellow and red cards issued to both Iraq and Norway during their match. The outcome settles yes if the total reaches 4 or more cards, and no if fewer than 4 cards are distributed across both teams. Official match records from the governing football authority serve as the authoritative source for card counts.
Key catalysts include official team lineups, which reveal whether aggressive or disciplined players are starting. Referee assignment announcements matter significantly, as some officials issue cards more liberally than others. Recent form and head-to-head history showing card trends will influence trader positioning. Weather conditions, pitch quality, and tournament stage intensity can all affect playing style and card distribution. Late-breaking injuries or suspensions may alter team composition and tactical approach, shifting market expectations for the final card count.