TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$133,388,117
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,436,095,462
405,232
Markets across
30,526
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,693
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Jun 15, 10:30 PM EST
Kalshi
This market tracks whether the Iran versus New Zealand FIFA World Cup soccer match will produce more than 4.5 combined goals during regulation play. On Kalshi, the leading outcome—over 4.5 goals—stands at 99.0%. Resolution will be determined by the official final score after 90 minutes plus stoppage time, excluding extra time or penalties. Watch the match on June 15, 2026, as the final whistle will determine settlement.
Resolution is based on the total number of goals scored by both teams combined during the 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time, excluding any extra time or penalty shootout. Each market resolves to Yes if the total goals exceed its specified threshold: over 0.5 goals, over 1.5 goals, over 2.5 goals, over 3.5 goals, over 4.5 goals, or over 5.5 goals. The resolution uses the official final score as declared by FIFA and the match officials.
Prediction market odds on Kalshi often diverge from traditional sportsbook lines because they reflect real-time trading by a diverse crowd rather than a single bookmaker's model. Sportsbooks adjust odds to balance liability and lock in profit margins, while prediction markets aggregate the beliefs of many participants with real money at stake. For Iran vs New Zealand: Total Goals, comparing Kalshi prices to major sportsbooks can reveal whether the crowd is more or less bullish on high-scoring outcomes than professional oddsmakers. These differences can highlight value or consensus shifts in how the match is expected to unfold.
On Kalshi, Iran vs New Zealand: Total Goals is priced as a binary contract reflecting the probability of each outcome. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. Traders buy or sell shares at prices between 0 and 100 cents, with the price representing the market's implied probability. As new information emerges—team news, injury reports, or betting trends—traders adjust their positions, moving the price up or down. The current price on Kalshi reflects the collective assessment of all active traders and their confidence in the final goal total.
The Iran vs New Zealand: Total Goals market resolves on Jun 16, 2026. Resolution is determined by the official final score of the match, specifically the total number of goals scored by both teams combined. Once the match concludes and the final tally is confirmed, the market settles according to whichever outcome bracket or threshold was specified in the contract terms. Traders holding shares in the winning outcome receive their payout, while losing positions expire worthless.
Several factors could shift the Iran vs New Zealand: Total Goals market before Jun 16, 2026. Team news—injuries to key strikers or defensive players—can alter scoring expectations. Recent form, head-to-head history, and lineup announcements typically trigger price moves as traders reassess offensive and defensive strength. Weather conditions at the venue may also influence goal-scoring potential. Additionally, betting action from sharp bettors or sudden shifts in public sentiment can accelerate price changes. Monitor team social media, official roster updates, and analyst commentary for catalysts that could reshape market odds.