TOTAL VOLUME:
$134b
24H VOL:
$103,397,351
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,410,176,180
399,592
Markets across
30,097
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,622
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Jun 15, 11:04 PM EST
Kalshi
This market on Kalshi tracks whether Iran will score more than 1.5 goals during their FIFA World Cup match against New Zealand. The leading outcome, Iran scoring over 1.5 goals, currently stands at 99.0% probability. Resolution is determined by the official goal count recorded during the 90 minutes of play plus stoppage time, excluding extra time or penalties. Watch for the match kickoff on June 15, 2026, which will determine the final goal tally during regulation and stoppage time.
Resolution is based on the total goals scored by Iran during the Iran vs New Zealand FIFA World Cup match originally scheduled for June 15, 2026, measured after 90 minutes plus stoppage time (excluding extra time and penalties). Own goals count toward the team awarded the goal. If the match is cancelled or rescheduled beyond two weeks, the market resolves to a fair price in accordance with the rules.
Prediction markets like Kalshi often price events differently than traditional sportsbooks due to their structure and participant base. Sportsbooks set odds to balance liability and generate profit margins, while prediction markets reflect aggregated trader beliefs with minimal house edge. For Iran vs New Zealand: Team Total, comparing Kalshi implied probabilities to major sportsbook lines can reveal discrepancies. These gaps may indicate where informed traders see value or where public perception diverges from professional oddsmakers. Monitoring both venues helps you understand whether the prediction market is pricing this event more optimistically or conservatively than the traditional betting market.
On Kalshi, Iran vs New Zealand: Team Total is priced as a binary contract reflecting the probability of each outcome. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. Traders buy and sell shares at prices between 0 and 100 cents, with the price directly representing the implied probability. As new information emerges about team form, injuries, or match conditions, traders adjust their positions, moving the price up or down. The market depth and order book on Kalshi show how much liquidity exists at each price level, helping you understand whether you can enter or exit positions at favorable rates before the Jun 16, 2026 resolution date.
The Iran vs New Zealand: Team Total market resolves on Jun 16, 2026. Resolution is determined by the final official result of the match between Iran and New Zealand. The specific outcome criteria—such as whether it measures total points, goals, runs, or another team statistic—are defined in the market's terms at the time of creation. Once the event concludes and the official result is confirmed, the market settles automatically based on which outcome occurred. Traders holding winning positions receive their payout, while losing positions expire worthless.
Several factors could shift the Iran vs New Zealand: Team Total market before Jun 16, 2026. Team news such as player injuries, roster changes, or lineup announcements often trigger significant price moves. Recent form, head-to-head history, and coaching decisions can also influence trader sentiment. Weather conditions, venue details, and travel schedules may affect performance expectations. Major injuries to key players or unexpected withdrawals typically cause sharp repricing. Additionally, any official statements from governing bodies, rule changes, or match postponements would impact market pricing. Traders continuously reassess probabilities as new information becomes available, so monitoring team updates and sports news is essential for understanding price movements.