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Iran vs New Zealand: Spread
kalshi

Iran vs New Zealand: Spread

Volume:
$4,777,407

Iran wins by over 1.5 goals

 - Kalshi

Iran wins by over 1.5 goals - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Jun 16, 2026

Closed: Jun 15, 11:05 PM EST

kalshi

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Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Iran wins by over 1.5 goals

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$2,008,325
N/A
N/A
$1,240,527
Settled
No
kalshi

Iran wins by over 2.5 goals

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$1,088,883
N/A
N/A
$801,070
Settled
No
kalshi

New Zealand wins by over 1.5 goals

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$1,054,227
N/A
N/A
$596,392
Settled
No
kalshi

New Zealand wins by over 2.5 goals

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$625,972
N/A
N/A
$523,315
Settled
No
Total markets: 4

Intro

This market tracks whether Iran will defeat New Zealand by more than 2.5 goals in their FIFA World Cup match. On Kalshi, the probability that Iran wins by over 1.5 goals stands at 8.0%, while New Zealand winning by over 1.5 goals is at 2.0%. Resolution will be determined by the official final score after 90 minutes plus stoppage time, as reported by FIFA. Watch for the match outcome on June 15, 2026, which will settle this market the following day.

Kalshi

Resolution is based on the goal differential between Iran and New Zealand during the 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time, excluding any extra time or penalty shootout. Markets resolve to Yes based on the winning margin: Iran wins by more than 2.5 goals, Iran wins by more than 1.5 goals, New Zealand wins by more than 1.5 goals, or New Zealand wins by more than 2.5 goals. The resolution uses the official final score as declared by FIFA and the match officials.

Frequently asked questions

Prediction market odds on Kalshi often diverge from traditional sportsbook lines because they reflect real-time trader sentiment rather than fixed bookmaker margins. Sportsbooks adjust spreads to balance action and protect profit; prediction markets aggregate decentralized beliefs with no intermediary. For Iran vs New Zealand: Spread, comparing Kalshi implied probabilities to major sportsbook spreads can reveal whether the market is pricing the matchup more bullishly or bearishly than Vegas. Traders often exploit these gaps before the market converges closer to kickoff.

On Kalshi, the Iran vs New Zealand: Spread market is priced as a binary contract reflecting whether the actual point spread will fall within or outside a specified range. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. Traders buy or sell shares at prices between 0 and 100 cents, with the implied probability derived from the current market price. As new information emerges—team injuries, weather, recent form—the price adjusts in real time. Kalshi's order book shows all pending buy and sell orders, allowing you to execute at the best available price or place limit orders to wait for your target entry.

The Iran vs New Zealand: Spread market resolves on Jun 16, 2026. Resolution is determined by the final official point spread outcome recorded at the end of the match. The market will settle based on whether the actual spread meets the contract's specified criteria. Until that moment, the market remains open for trading, and prices will fluctuate as game day approaches and new developments emerge. Check Kalshi's event details for the exact resolution timestamp and any applicable tie-breaking rules.

Key catalysts for Iran vs New Zealand: Spread include team roster announcements, injury reports, and recent performance trends. Coaching changes, weather forecasts closer to match day, and head-to-head tactical adjustments can all shift trader expectations. Major upsets or dominant displays by either team in warm-up matches may trigger repricing. Media narratives and betting syndicate activity can also move the market. Monitor official team statements, injury updates, and expert analysis in the lead-up to Jun 16, 2026 to stay ahead of price movements on Kalshi.