TOTAL VOLUME:

$134.2b

24H VOL:

$134,145,987

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,441,166,947

406,422

Markets across

30,383

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,688

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

Kalshi:

61%

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Iran vs. New Zealand
polymarket
kalshi
predict

Iran vs. New Zealand

Volume:
$586,788

New Zealand

 - Kalshi

New Zealand - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Aug 28, 2026

Closed: Aug 28, 4:20 AM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

New Zealand

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$256,040
N/A
N/A
$143,248
Settled
Yes
polymarket

O/U 169.5

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
46¢
N/A
$2,505
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
predict

Iran vs. New Zealand

View
1%
49%
Yes 1¢No 99¢
—
$297
$1,432
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Iran vs. New Zealand

View
0%
58%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$45,264
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Iran

View
0%
29%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$281,417
N/A
N/A
$131,838
Settled
No
polymarket

Iran (-31.5)

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$130
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
Total markets: 6

Intro

This market tracks the winner of the men's professional FIBA World Cup Qualifiers basketball game between Iran and New Zealand. The aggregated consensus probability for Iran to win is 1.0%. The platforms included are Polymarket, Kalshi, and Predict, with resolution based on official FIBA game results. Watch for the game scheduled for August 28, 2026, as this will determine the market outcome.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Unified Resolution Criteria (Consistent across platforms)

All platforms share identical resolution logic based on the official game result from FIBAPrimary resolution logic: Official FIBA game results

Core resolution logic:

  • If Iran wins the game (including overtime), market resolves to Iran
  • If New Zealand wins the game (including overtime), market resolves to New Zealand
  • If the game is postponed, market remains open until the game is completed
  • If the game is canceled entirely with no make-up game, market resolves 50-50

Edge cases & clarifications:

  • Postponement: Market remains open until the rescheduled game is completed
  • Cancellation: Market resolves 50-50 if the game is canceled entirely with no make-up game
Timing: Resolution occurs immediately after the official conclusion of the FIBA WCQ Asia game between Iran and New ZealandOur PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.

Polymarket

In the upcoming FIBA WCQ Asia game, scheduled for August 28 at 6:00AM ET: If the Iran win, the market will resolve to "Iran". If the New Zealand win, the market will resolve to "New Zealand". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50. The result will be determined based on the final score including any overtime periods.

Kalshi

The market resolves based on the winner of the New Zealand vs Iran men’s professional FIBA World Cup Qualifiers basketball game scheduled for August 28, 2026, at 2:00 AM EDT. If Iran wins, the Iran market resolves to Yes; if New Zealand wins, the New Zealand market resolves to Yes. If the game is postponed but begins within 48 hours of the originally scheduled start time, the market remains open and resolves based on the official final result. If the game is cancelled or not started within 48 hours of its originally scheduled start, all markets will resolve to a fair price. Kalshi disclaims any affiliation with the governing league, and all trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners.

Predict

In the upcoming FIBA WCQ Asia game, scheduled for August 28 at 6:00AM ET: If the Iran win, the market will resolve to "Iran". If the New Zealand win, the market will resolve to "New Zealand". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50. The result will be determined based on the final score including any overtime periods.

Frequently asked questions

The dashboard for the Iran vs. New Zealand football match aggregates real-time data from multiple platforms, showing how traders price the chances of different outcomes. It displays current probabilities, total volume of $586,788 and recent 24-hour volume of $542,470, letting you see consensus views across venues. This centralized view helps you spot shifts in sentiment as the match approaches, with all data updated live to reflect market activity.