TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$134,145,987
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,441,166,947
406,422
Markets across
30,383
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,688
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Jun 4, 4:00 PM EST
Limitless
This market will resolve to "YES" if Iran wins by 2 or more goals against Mali during regular time (90 minutes plus stoppage time only) in the Friendlies match scheduled for June 4, 2026, 16:30 UTC. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "NO." If the match is canceled after it starts, this market will resolve based on official data recorded up to that point. If the match is canceled entirely before it starts or postponed/rescheduled to a restart date later than August 4, 2026, 23:59 UTC, this market will resolve to "NO."
On Limitless, the Iran to win by 2 or more goals vs Mali outcome is priced as a binary contract reflecting the probability that Iran wins by exactly 2 goals or more. On Limitless, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. Traders buy and sell shares at prices between 0 and 100 cents, where each cent represents 1 percent probability. As match details, team news, and betting interest evolve, the price adjusts dynamically. The current price on Limitless directly represents what the market crowd believes is the likelihood of this specific scoreline outcome, making it a transparent gauge of collective expectation.
The market resolves on Jun 5, 2026. Resolution is determined by the final official score of the Iran vs Mali match. The outcome will be confirmed as YES if Iran wins by a margin of 2 or more goals, and NO if the margin is 0, 1, or if Iran loses or draws. Official match records from the governing sports authority are used to settle the market. Traders should monitor team lineups, injuries, and venue conditions leading up to kickoff, as these factors directly influence the likelihood of a 2+ goal victory for Iran.
Key catalysts include team roster announcements, injury updates to star players on either side, and recent form or head-to-head history. If Iran's top scorers are ruled out, the probability of a 2+ goal win typically falls. Conversely, Mali injuries or defensive vulnerabilities could increase Iran's chances. Weather conditions, altitude, and home-field advantage also influence scoreline expectations. Media reports on tactical changes, coaching decisions, or player fitness will likely trigger price swings. As the match date approaches, late-breaking news and final team sheets often produce sharp moves in the market odds.