TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$141,541,542
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,440,096,988
406,065
Markets across
30,522
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,692
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: May 29, 3:00 PM EST
Limitless
This market will resolve to "YES" if Iran wins by 2 or more goals against Gambia during regular time (90 minutes plus stoppage time only) in the Friendlies match scheduled for May 29, 2026, 15:30 UTC. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "NO." If the match is canceled after it starts, this market will resolve based on official data recorded up to that point. If the match is canceled entirely before it starts or postponed/rescheduled to a restart date later than July 29, 2026, 23:59 UTC, this market will resolve to "NO."
Prediction market odds on Limitless often differ from traditional sportsbook odds because they reflect real-time trader sentiment rather than fixed lines set by oddsmakers. Sportsbooks typically adjust odds to balance action and manage risk, while prediction markets aggregate the collective belief of participants trading freely. For the Iran vs Gambia match, comparing Limitless odds to major sportsbooks can reveal whether traders are more or less bullish on Iran's 2-goal-plus victory than bookmakers. These differences can signal where smart money is positioning itself or highlight mispricing opportunities. Tracking both venues helps you gauge consensus confidence in this outcome.
On Limitless, Iran to win by 2 or more goals vs Gambia is priced according to the collective trading activity of market participants. On Limitless, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The current probability reflects the balance of buy and sell orders, with traders continuously adjusting their positions based on team news, injury reports, historical performance, and tactical analysis. Limitless uses an order-book model where prices move as demand shifts. The spread between bid and ask prices indicates market confidence and liquidity around this outcome. As match day approaches, expect the price to tighten and potentially move sharply if new information emerges about either team's form or squad availability.
The Iran to win by 2 or more goals vs Gambia market resolves on May 30, 2026. Resolution is determined by the final match result: the market confirms YES if Iran wins by exactly 2 goals or more, and NO if the margin is less than 2 goals or if Iran does not win. The official match score from the governing football authority is used to settle all positions. Once the final whistle sounds and the result is confirmed, the market locks and payouts are distributed to winning traders. Any postponements or rescheduling would extend the resolution window accordingly.
Several factors could shift the odds before May 30, 2026. Key player injuries or suspensions on either side would significantly impact Iran's attacking potency and Gambia's defensive resilience. Recent form updates, such as strong or weak performances in qualifying matches, often trigger sharp price moves. Team news regarding lineup changes, tactical shifts, or coaching decisions can alter trader expectations. Weather conditions at the venue and home-field advantage dynamics may also influence perceived win probability. Additionally, betting syndicates and sharp money moving into the market can signal new information or contrarian positioning, prompting retail traders to reassess their positions and driving price volatility.