TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$126,324,530
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,434,646,834
406,019
Markets across
30,401
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,689
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Jun 5, 12:30 PM EST
Limitless
This market will resolve to "YES" if the combined total number of yellow and red cards received by Iran and Mali (players only) is 4 or higher during regular time (90 minutes plus stoppage time only) in the Friendlies match scheduled for June 4, 2026, 16:30 UTC. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "NO." If the match is canceled after it starts, this market will resolve based on official data recorded up to that point. If the match is canceled entirely before it starts or postponed/rescheduled to a restart date later than August 4, 2026, 23:59 UTC, this market will resolve to "NO."
Prediction market odds on Limitless often diverge from traditional sportsbook odds because they reflect real-time crowd sentiment rather than fixed bookmaker margins. Sportsbooks typically embed a 4–6% vigorish and adjust lines based on liability management, while prediction markets price the event based on continuous trader demand. For the Iran and Mali card total, prediction markets may respond faster to breaking news about player suspensions or referee assignments. Comparing Limitless odds to major sportsbooks can reveal whether the crowd is more or less bullish on a high-card outcome than professional oddsmakers.
The Iran and Mali have 4 or more total cards market resolves on Jun 5, 2026. The outcome is determined by the total number of yellow and red cards issued to both teams during the official match. If the combined card count reaches 4 or more, the yes outcome wins; if the total is 3 or fewer, the no outcome wins. Resolution is based on the final official match record as reported by the governing football authority. Any cards issued after the final whistle or during post-match incidents are not counted toward the total.
Several catalysts could shift the odds before Jun 5, 2026. Confirmation of the match referee is critical, as different officials have distinct card-issuing tendencies. Team news—such as suspensions, injuries to key players, or tactical changes—can alter aggression levels and foul risk. Pre-match commentary from coaches about discipline or playing style may influence trader expectations. Weather conditions, pitch quality, and venue history can affect physicality. Additionally, recent form and head-to-head history between Iran and Mali, including previous card counts, provide context for traders adjusting their positions. Any official statement about heightened fair-play protocols could also impact card projections.