TOTAL VOLUME:
$134b
24H VOL:
$107,351,958
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,416,970,024
400,720
Markets across
30,097
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,633
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: May 30, 11:30 AM EST
Limitless
This market will resolve to "YES" if the combined total number of yellow and red cards received by Iran and Gambia (players only) is 4 or higher during regular time (90 minutes plus stoppage time only) in the Friendlies match scheduled for May 29, 2026, 15:30 UTC. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "NO." If the match is canceled after it starts, this market will resolve based on official data recorded up to that point. If the match is canceled entirely before it starts or postponed/rescheduled to a restart date later than July 29, 2026, 23:59 UTC, this market will resolve to "NO."
Prediction market odds on Limitless reflect real-time trader consensus and often diverge from traditional sportsbook lines because they aggregate continuous crowd sentiment rather than fixed opening odds. Sportsbooks typically adjust lines based on sharp action and liability management, while prediction markets reward early information discovery and contrarian positioning. For the Iran and Gambia card total, comparing Limitless odds to major sportsbook offerings can reveal whether the crowd is pricing in higher or lower disciplinary expectations than professional oddsmakers. Prediction markets often lead sportsbooks when new team news or referee information surfaces.
On Limitless, the Iran and Gambia have 4 or more total cards outcome is priced as a binary contract reflecting the probability traders assign to that event occurring. On Limitless, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The price moves continuously as new orders flow in, driven by match context such as team aggression profiles, historical card rates, referee tendencies, and injury reports. Limitless uses an order-book model where buyers and sellers set their own odds; the last-traded price represents the live market consensus. Higher prices indicate stronger belief the teams will exceed 4 cards combined; lower prices suggest the opposite.
The market resolves on May 30, 2026, after the Iran and Gambia match concludes. Resolution is determined by the official final card count from the match, including all yellow and red cards issued to both teams combined. The outcome is binary: if the total reaches 4 or more cards, the affirmative resolves to yes; if fewer than 4 cards are issued, it resolves to no. Official match records and governing body documentation serve as the authoritative source for card tallies.
Several catalysts can shift odds before May 30, 2026. Confirmed team lineups and injury reports may reveal which aggressive or defensive players will feature. Referee assignment announcements can signal disciplinary tendencies, as some officials issue cards more liberally than others. Recent form and head-to-head history showing card patterns in prior Iran or Gambia matches will influence trader positioning. Tournament context, weather conditions, and stakes intensity also matter: knockout stages or high-pressure matches often see elevated card counts. Breaking news about player suspensions or tactical changes can trigger rapid repricing on Limitless.