TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$126,324,530
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,434,646,834
406,019
Markets across
30,401
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,689
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 15, 7:07 PM EST
Polymarket
In the upcoming match between Ipswich Town FC and Arsenal FC, scheduled for September 15, 2026 at 3:00 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Ipswich Town FC" if Ipswich Town FC are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. This market will resolve to "Arsenal FC" if Arsenal FC are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. If neither team scores within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time, this market will resolve "Neither". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to "Neither". This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. Extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, data from Flashscore may be used; if Flashscore data is unavailable, data from Sofascore may be used; if neither is available, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome. If no acceptable data is available within 24 hours of the event's conclusion, this market will resolve 50-50, or to "Draw" where applicable.
In the upcoming match between Ipswich Town FC and Arsenal FC, scheduled for September 15, 2026 at 3:00 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Ipswich Town FC" if Ipswich Town FC are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. This market will resolve to "Arsenal FC" if Arsenal FC are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. If neither team scores within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time, this market will resolve "Neither". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to "Neither". This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. Extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, data from Flashscore may be used; if Flashscore data is unavailable, data from Sofascore may be used; if neither is available, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome. If no acceptable data is available within 24 hours of the event's conclusion, this market will resolve 50-50, or to "Draw" where applicable.
Generally, prediction market odds tend to reflect the collective wisdom of informed traders, often aligning closely with sportsbook odds but sometimes diverging based on unique information or perspectives. Sportsbooks set initial lines based on statistical models and expert analysis, while this market allows anyone to express their belief about the outcome, potentially leading to different probabilities. Discrepancies can arise from differing risk assessments or the influence of public sentiment. It’s common to see prediction markets incorporate information faster than traditional bookmakers, especially as new developments emerge.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism, where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in whether Arsenal FC or Ipswich Town FC will score first. The price of each share directly reflects the implied probability of that outcome. As more traders participate, the price adjusts to reflect the collective assessment of the event. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The market’s volume, currently at $3,623, indicates the level of interest and confidence in each potential outcome, offering insight into the prevailing market sentiment.
This market resolves around Sep 15, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Resolution will be based on which team scores the first goal in the Ipswich Town FC vs. Arsenal FC match. The official match records will serve as the basis for determining the winning outcome. The platform will verify the result against established sources to ensure accuracy and transparency. Traders will then be able to claim their winnings based on their holdings in the winning share.
Several factors could influence the price movement of this market. Any news regarding key player injuries or suspensions for either Ipswich Town FC or Arsenal FC would likely have a significant impact. Changes in team form, tactical adjustments, or even weather conditions could also shift trader sentiment. Unexpected announcements about starting lineups or pre-match interviews from managers could also trigger price fluctuations. Overall, any information that alters the perceived probability of either team scoring first has the potential to move this market before Sep 15, 2026.