TOTAL VOLUME:
$134b
24H VOL:
$107,351,958
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,416,970,024
400,720
Markets across
30,097
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,633
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 26, 7:10 PM EST
Kalshi
This market tracks whether the total points scored in the Iowa versus Michigan college football game will exceed 32.5 points. Currently, the probability of Over 32.5 points scored is at 99.0% on Kalshi. Resolution will be determined by the final score of the game, as reported according to the rules detailed in the resolution source. Keep a close watch on the game itself, scheduled for September 26, 2026, as the final score will determine the outcome of this market.
All markets resolve based on the total points scored by both Iowa and Michigan in their college football game scheduled for September 26, 2026. For each market, if the combined score exceeds the specified threshold, the market resolves to Yes; otherwise, it resolves to No. If the game is postponed but commences within 48 hours of the original start time, the markets remain open and resolve according to the final official result. If the game does not start within 48 hours of the scheduled time, all markets will resolve to a fair price, ensuring equitable treatment for all participants regardless of the specific point threshold market.
On Kalshi, this market is priced using a continuous double auction. Traders buy and sell contracts representing their belief about whether the total points scored in the Iowa vs Michigan game will be over or under the specified threshold. The price of these contracts directly reflects the market’s implied probability. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate and express their views, the price fluctuates, providing a dynamic assessment of the likely outcome. The current price indicates the cost to take one side of the bet, and the difference between the 'yes' and 'no' prices represents the spread.
This market resolves around Sep 26, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final score of the Iowa vs Michigan game, as officially recorded by relevant sports authorities, will determine whether the total points scored fall above or below the threshold established in the market. The resolution will be based on the official game statistics, ensuring a transparent and verifiable outcome. Traders holding contracts on the correct side will receive a payout of $1.00 per contract.
Several factors could significantly influence this market. Any news regarding key player injuries or suspensions for either Iowa or Michigan would likely cause price movement. Changes in weather forecasts, particularly if severe weather is expected, could also impact the anticipated scoring. Unexpected coaching decisions or strategic shifts announced before the game could also influence trader sentiment. Finally, public perception and any late-breaking news related to team morale or performance could contribute to shifts in the price of contracts in this market.