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Iowa vs Michigan: Spread
kalshi

What is the result of Iowa vs Michigan?

Volume:
$2,504,859

Michigan wins by over 5.5 points

 - Kalshi

Michigan wins by over 5.5 points - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Sep 26, 2026

Closed: Sep 26, 7:10 PM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

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Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Michigan wins by over 5.5 points

View
0%
49%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$841,095
N/A
N/A
$502,766
Settled
No
kalshi

Michigan wins by over 4.5 points

View
0%
52%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$340,751
N/A
N/A
$190,697
Settled
No
kalshi

Michigan wins by over 6.5 points

View
0%
45%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$325,687
N/A
N/A
$175,522
Settled
No
kalshi

Michigan wins by over 3.5 points

View
0%
55%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$273,766
N/A
N/A
$147,850
Settled
No
kalshi

Michigan wins by over 2.5 points

View
0%
62%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$184,682
N/A
N/A
$128,929
Settled
No
kalshi

Michigan wins by over 7.5 points

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$163,615
N/A
N/A
$87,731
Settled
No
kalshi

Michigan wins by over 10.5 points

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$48,833
N/A
N/A
$30,652
Settled
No
kalshi

Michigan wins by over 9.5 points

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$46,893
N/A
N/A
$25,830
Settled
No
kalshi

Iowa wins by over 1.5 points

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$29,810
N/A
N/A
$24,105
Settled
No
kalshi

Michigan wins by over 20.5 points

View
0%
13%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$28,104
N/A
N/A
$27,281
Settled
No
kalshi

Michigan wins by over 1.5 points

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$26,780
N/A
N/A
$17,689
Settled
No
kalshi

Michigan wins by over 13.5 points

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$19,754
N/A
N/A
$15,285
Settled
No
kalshi

Iowa wins by over 17.5 points

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$19,184
N/A
N/A
$17,850
Settled
No
kalshi

Iowa wins by over 13.5 points

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$18,931
N/A
N/A
$18,788
Settled
No
kalshi

Iowa wins by over 2.5 points

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$18,528
N/A
N/A
$13,144
Settled
No
kalshi

Michigan wins by over 17.5 points

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$17,317
N/A
N/A
$17,166
Settled
No
kalshi

Iowa wins by over 5.5 points

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$16,880
N/A
N/A
$12,572
Settled
No
kalshi

Iowa wins by over 16.5 points

View
0%
6%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$13,581
N/A
N/A
$13,578
Settled
No
kalshi

Iowa wins by over 3.5 points

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$12,155
N/A
N/A
$8,231
Settled
No
kalshi

Iowa wins by over 6.5 points

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$11,034
N/A
N/A
$9,463
Settled
No
kalshi

Michigan wins by over 14.5 points

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$9,191
N/A
N/A
$8,350
Settled
No
kalshi

Iowa wins by over 7.5 points

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$8,673
N/A
N/A
$8,164
Settled
No
kalshi

Michigan wins by over 11.5 points

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$8,482
N/A
N/A
$2,998
Settled
No
kalshi

Iowa wins by over 4.5 points

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$6,174
N/A
N/A
$5,969
Settled
No
kalshi

Iowa wins by over 9.5 points

View
0%
14%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$4,648
N/A
N/A
$4,409
Settled
No
Total markets: 25 of 29

Intro

This market tracks whether Michigan will win its college football game against Iowa by more than 1.5 points. Currently, Kalshi gives a 77.0% probability to Michigan winning by over 1.5 points. The market resolves based on the outcome of the Iowa vs Michigan college football game originally scheduled for September 26, 2026, as determined by the final score reported by official sources. Keep a close watch on the game itself on September 26, 2026, as the final score will determine the resolution of this market.

Kalshi

All markets resolve based on the official final score of the Iowa vs Michigan college football game scheduled for September 26, 2026. For markets where Michigan wins by a specified margin or more, the market resolves to Yes if Michigan meets or exceeds that margin; for markets where Iowa wins by a specified margin or more, the market resolves to Yes if Iowa meets or exceeds that margin. If the game is postponed but commences within 48 hours of its original scheduled start time, all markets remain open and resolve based on the final result. If the game fails to start within 48 hours of its scheduled time, all markets resolve to a fair price, ensuring equitable treatment for all participants regardless of the specific outcome thresholds.

Frequently asked questions

Typically, prediction markets like this one reflect the wisdom of the crowd, often leading to odds that are competitive with, and sometimes more accurate than, traditional sportsbooks. However, it’s important to remember that sportsbooks incorporate a ‘vig’ or commission into their odds, while Kalshi allows traders to directly bet against each other. This can result in differences in the implied probabilities. Currently, comparing this market to publicly available sportsbook lines reveals varying perspectives on the likely outcome of the Iowa vs Michigan game.

On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing different point spreads for the Iowa vs Michigan game. The price of each contract reflects the market's collective belief about the probability of that spread occurring. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. Traders are incentivized to set prices accurately, as they profit from correctly predicting the outcome. This dynamic pricing mechanism means the market can react quickly to new information and changing sentiment surrounding the game.

This market resolves around Sep 26, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final point spread of the Iowa vs Michigan game, as determined by official game statistics, will be used to determine which contracts pay out. Traders who correctly predicted the final spread will receive a payout based on the contract’s price at resolution. It's important to monitor news and updates leading up to the game to stay informed about potential factors that could influence the result.

Several factors could significantly impact this market. Any news regarding key player injuries for either Iowa or Michigan would likely cause a shift in the odds. Changes in coaching strategies or unexpected weather conditions could also influence trader sentiment. Furthermore, large volume trades on Kalshi itself can create momentum and move the price, especially as the game approaches. Public opinion, as reflected in polls and analysts’ predictions, can also play a role, though this market represents a direct expression of trader beliefs.