TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$133,388,117
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,436,095,462
405,232
Markets across
30,526
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,693
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 26, 6:08 PM EST
Kalshi
This set of markets focuses on predicting the point differential in the third quarter of an upcoming college football game between Iowa and Michigan. Each market corresponds to a specific threshold of points by which either team must win that quarter to settle the bet.
All markets resolve based solely on points scored during the third quarter of play in the Iowa vs Michigan college football game scheduled for September 26, 2026. A market resolves to 'Yes' if the specified team wins the quarter by exceeding the stated point margin—ranging from 2.5 to 10.5 points—for that particular market. If the game is postponed but commences within 48 hours of its original scheduled start time, all markets remain active and resolve according to the official third-quarter result. Should the game fail to start within this 48-hour window, all markets will resolve to a fair price, ensuring equitable treatment for all participants. The markets cover varying thresholds of victory for both Iowa and Michigan, allowing participants to bet on different levels of dominance in that specific quarter.
Prediction market odds often reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse group of traders, potentially differing from those set by sportsbooks. Sportsbooks establish lines based on statistical models and their own risk assessment, while this market allows individuals to express their beliefs about the game's outcome. It’s common to see initial discrepancies, as sportsbooks may adjust their lines based on betting action, and this market evolves with new information and trader sentiment. Comparing the two can reveal where public opinion diverges from professional analysis.
This market resolves around Sep 26, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final point spread in the third quarter of the Iowa vs Michigan game will be used to determine which contracts pay out. Specifically, the market will assess whether the actual spread falls above or below the contract's specified spread. The resolution will be based on official game statistics and data sources, ensuring an objective and verifiable result for this market.
Several factors could influence the Iowa vs Michigan spread between now and game day. News regarding key player injuries on either team would likely have a significant impact. Changes in team performance during recent games, or even weather forecasts for the game day, could also shift trader sentiment. Unexpected announcements about coaching strategies or team morale might also contribute to price movements in this market. Any information that alters perceptions of the teams’ relative strengths could cause the market to react.