TOTAL VOLUME:
$61.8b
24H VOL:
$236,615,189
24H TRANSACTIONS:
600,069,390
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,344,513,070
577,941
Markets across
14,530
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,090
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
50%
VS.
Kalshi:
50%
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
This event group covers a Women's College Basketball (WBB) matchup between Iowa State Cyclones and Kansas State Wildcats scheduled for March 1, 2026 at 1:00 PM ET. Markets resolve based on which team wins the game, with provisions for postponement, cancellation, and overtime.
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue:
Kalshi's resolution logic is logically contradictory: it states both a win by Iowa St. and a win by Kansas St. both resolve to Yes, which is impossible in a binary market structure. This makes Kalshi's market fundamentally unresolvable as written.Hero Tip:
Do not trade on Kalshi until this contradiction is resolved. The platform's logic violates basic binary market principles. Polymarket offers clear, mutually exclusive resolution paths and should be the primary trading venue for this event.Critical Divergence Points:
Polymarket:
Winner-take-all binary resolution with clear mutually exclusive outcomes. Iowa State win resolves to Iowa State Cyclones; Kansas State win resolves to Kansas State Wildcats. Postponement keeps market open; cancellation without makeup resolves 50-50. Resolution based on final score including overtime.Kalshi:
Logically contradictory resolution: states both Iowa St. win and Kansas St. win resolve to Yes, which is impossible for a binary market. This creates a data integrity failure and makes the market unresolvable as written.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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