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Iowa St. vs Iowa: Spread
kalshi

What is the result of Iowa St. vs Iowa?

Volume:
$1,117,806

Iowa wins by over 2.5 points

 - Kalshi

Iowa wins by over 2.5 points - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Sep 13, 2026

Closed: Sep 12, 11:00 PM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Iowa wins by over 2.5 points

View
100%
21%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$78,767
N/A
N/A
$51,420
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Iowa wins by over 1.5 points

View
100%
14%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$24,101
N/A
N/A
$15,892
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Iowa wins by over 13.5 points

View
0%
54%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$351,321
N/A
N/A
$308,890
Settled
No
kalshi

Iowa wins by over 14.5 points

View
0%
48%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$175,599
N/A
N/A
$115,834
Settled
No
kalshi

Iowa wins by over 3.5 points

View
0%
75%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$110,004
N/A
N/A
$53,803
Settled
No
kalshi

Iowa wins by over 6.5 points

View
0%
73%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$93,132
N/A
N/A
$61,558
Settled
No
kalshi

Iowa wins by over 4.5 points

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$40,971
N/A
N/A
$26,692
Settled
No
kalshi

Iowa wins by over 9.5 points

View
0%
62%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$35,382
N/A
N/A
$31,329
Settled
No
kalshi

Iowa St. wins by over 1.5 points

View
0%
10%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$31,224
N/A
N/A
$26,316
Settled
No
kalshi

Iowa wins by over 10.5 points

View
0%
58%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$28,967
N/A
N/A
$18,719
Settled
No
kalshi

Iowa wins by over 11.5 points

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$24,985
N/A
N/A
$21,335
Settled
No
kalshi

Iowa St. wins by over 2.5 points

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$19,471
N/A
N/A
$16,910
Settled
No
kalshi

Iowa wins by over 7.5 points

View
0%
64%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$14,455
N/A
N/A
$9,712
Settled
No
kalshi

Iowa wins by over 20.5 points

View
0%
35%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$13,781
N/A
N/A
$12,187
Settled
No
kalshi

Iowa wins by over 5.5 points

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$11,059
N/A
N/A
$7,525
Settled
No
kalshi

Iowa St. wins by over 5.5 points

View
0%
8%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$8,592
N/A
N/A
$8,118
Settled
No
kalshi

Iowa wins by over 17.5 points

View
0%
41%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$7,772
N/A
N/A
$6,776
Settled
No
kalshi

Iowa St. wins by over 6.5 points

View
0%
10%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$6,200
N/A
N/A
$5,614
Settled
No
kalshi

Iowa wins by over 24.5 points

View
0%
24%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$6,139
N/A
N/A
$5,893
Settled
No
kalshi

Iowa wins by over 21.5 points

View
0%
31%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$6,018
N/A
N/A
$5,342
Settled
No
kalshi

Iowa wins by over 16.5 points

View
0%
45%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$5,544
N/A
N/A
$4,582
Settled
No
kalshi

Iowa wins by over 27.5 points

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$5,274
N/A
N/A
$5,103
Settled
No
kalshi

Iowa St. wins by over 3.5 points

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$5,090
N/A
N/A
$3,263
Settled
No
kalshi

Iowa St. wins by over 10.5 points

View
0%
6%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$3,752
N/A
N/A
$3,224
Settled
No
kalshi

Iowa wins by over 23.5 points

View
0%
30%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$2,977
N/A
N/A
$2,306
Settled
No
Total markets: 25 of 31

Intro

This market tracks whether Iowa will win its college football game against Iowa State by more than 2.5 points. Currently, Kalshi gives a 77.0% probability to Iowa winning by over 2.5 points. Resolution will be based on the final score of the Iowa St. vs Iowa game originally scheduled for Sep 12, 2026, as determined by the official game results. Keep an eye on the game itself, as the market will resolve based on the outcome of the Sep 12, 2026 fixture and will be finalized by the resolution date of September 13, 2026.

Kalshi

All markets resolve based on the official final result of the Iowa St. vs Iowa college football game scheduled for Sep 12, 2026. If Iowa wins by a margin exceeding the specified threshold in any "Iowa wins by over X points" market, that market resolves to Yes; if Iowa St. wins by a margin exceeding the threshold in any "Iowa St. wins by over X points" market, that market resolves to Yes. Markets are void if the game is not started within 48 hours of its original schedule time, at which point they resolve to a fair price. The markets cover a range of possible outcomes from narrow victories to dominant wins for either team.

Frequently asked questions

On Kalshi, the dashboard for the Iowa vs Iowa State spread tracks the current price of the spread, historical price movements, and 24-hour trading volume. You can see how the market is valuing the likelihood of Iowa covering the spread against Iowa State. Currently, the 24-hour volume is $1,052,914, and the total volume traded on this market is $1,117,806. This allows traders to monitor activity and potential shifts in sentiment regarding the game's outcome.

Generally, prediction market odds tend to reflect the wisdom of the crowd, often aligning with—but sometimes diverging from—sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks set initial lines based on their own analysis, incorporating factors like team statistics and injuries. This market, however, allows anyone to trade on their beliefs, potentially leading to odds that more accurately forecast the actual result as new information becomes available. Discrepancies can arise due to differing levels of information and the incentives of participants; sportsbooks aim to profit, while prediction market traders aim to correctly predict the outcome.

On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing different outcomes of the Iowa vs Iowa State spread. The price of each contract reflects the market's collective probability assessment of that outcome. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. Traders adjust their bids and asks based on their own analysis and expectations, causing the price to fluctuate until the event concludes. The current price indicates what traders are willing to pay to own a contract that pays out if their predicted outcome occurs.

This market resolves around Sep 13, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final point spread will be determined by the official result of the Iowa versus Iowa State football game. The market will settle to 100 if Iowa covers the spread, and 0 if Iowa State covers. Traders holding contracts corresponding to the correct outcome will receive a payout based on the final market price at resolution.

Several factors could influence the price of this market before the game takes place. Any news regarding key player injuries on either Iowa or Iowa State would likely cause significant movement. Changes in weather forecasts, particularly if they suggest adverse conditions, could also impact the spread. Public sentiment, reflected in betting trends and expert analysis, can also play a role. Finally, any late-breaking news related to team morale or coaching decisions could shift the market’s assessment of the likely outcome.