TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$126,324,530
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,434,646,834
406,019
Markets across
30,401
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,689
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 12, 10:58 PM EST
Kalshi
This market tracks which team will score more points in the final quarter of the Iowa State vs. Iowa college football game scheduled for September 12, 2026. It focuses solely on the performance during the fourth quarter, excluding any overtime periods. The outcome depends on the points scored by each team specifically in that quarter.
The market resolves based on which team scores more points in the fourth quarter of the Iowa State vs. Iowa college football game scheduled for September 12, 2026, excluding overtime. If Iowa scores more points in the fourth quarter, the 'Iowa wins 4th Quarter' market resolves to Yes. If Iowa State scores more points in the fourth quarter, the 'Iowa St. wins 4th Quarter' market resolves to Yes. If both teams score the same number of points in the fourth quarter, the 'Tie 4th Quarter' market resolves to Yes. For all markets, only points scored during the fourth quarter (excluding overtime) count. If the game is postponed but starts within 48 hours of the original time, the market remains open and resolves based on the official result. If the game does not start within 48 hours, the market resolves to a fair price. Kalshi is not affiliated with the NCAA; all trademarks belong to their respective owners.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd, often aligning with but sometimes diverging from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and aim to balance action on both sides, while this market is driven purely by individuals willing to put their capital behind their beliefs. If there's a significant difference, it could indicate that prediction market traders have access to information or insights not fully incorporated into sportsbook lines, or simply a different assessment of probabilities. It's common to see convergence as the event approaches.
This market resolves around Sep 13, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Specifically, the market will settle based on which team is leading when the 4th quarter concludes. Official game results from a trusted sports data source will be used to determine the winner. The platform will verify the final score and declare the winning contract, distributing payouts to those who correctly predicted the 4th quarter victor.
Several factors could influence trading activity and shift the odds in this market. Any news regarding key player injuries for either Iowa or Iowa State would likely have a significant impact. Changes in weather forecasts, particularly if they suggest unfavorable playing conditions, could also move the market. Unexpected coaching decisions or strategic adjustments announced before the game might also cause traders to reassess their probabilities. Furthermore, large volume trades from informed participants could quickly alter the price of contracts, reflecting new information or sentiment.