TOTAL VOLUME:
$134b
24H VOL:
$107,351,958
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,416,970,024
400,720
Markets across
30,097
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,633
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 12, 10:05 PM EST
Kalshi
This set of markets focuses on predicting the point differential in the third quarter of a college football game between Iowa State and Iowa. Each market corresponds to a specific threshold for how much one team might outscore the other during that quarter.
All markets resolve based solely on points scored during the third quarter of the Iowa St. vs Iowa college football game scheduled for September 12, 2026. A 'Yes' outcome occurs if the winning team achieves a point differential exceeding the specified threshold for that market. If the game is postponed but commences within 48 hours of the original start time, the markets remain active and resolve according to the official result. Should the game fail to start within this 48-hour window, all markets will resolve to a fair price, ensuring equitable treatment for all participants regardless of the specific point differential thresholds listed.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd and can differ from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own modeling and to balance action, while this market represents the collective belief of traders. Often, prediction markets are more accurate than traditional point spreads, especially when considering information not fully priced into sportsbook lines. However, sportsbook odds can be a useful point of comparison when evaluating the potential value in this market.
This market resolves around Sep 13, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Specifically, the final point spread in the third quarter of the Iowa State versus Iowa football game will be used to determine which contracts pay out. The resolution will be based on official game statistics, ensuring a transparent and verifiable result for all traders in this market.
Several factors could influence the price of this market. Any news regarding injuries to key players on either Iowa State or Iowa would likely cause significant movement. Changes in weather forecasts, particularly if they suggest unfavorable playing conditions, could also impact the spread. Furthermore, any shifts in public sentiment or expert analysis regarding the teams' performance could drive trading activity and change the price of contracts in this market.