TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$126,324,530
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,434,646,834
406,019
Markets across
30,401
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,689
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 12, 9:05 PM EST
Kalshi
This set of markets focuses on predicting the margin of victory for either Iowa or Iowa State during the second quarter of their college football matchup. Each market corresponds to a specific point differential threshold that must be exceeded for the outcome to be considered valid.
All markets resolve based solely on points scored during the second quarter of play in the Iowa St. vs Iowa college football game scheduled for Sep 12, 2026. A 'Yes' outcome occurs if the specified team's second-quarter point differential meets or exceeds the threshold stated in the market title. If the game is postponed but commences within 48 hours of its original scheduled start time, all markets remain active and resolve according to the official final result. Should the game fail to start within this 48-hour window, all markets resolve to a fair price, ensuring equitable treatment for all participants regardless of the specific point differential conditions outlined in individual markets.
Prediction market odds often reflect the wisdom of the crowd, potentially offering a different perspective than traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and risk management, while this market allows individuals to express their beliefs about the outcome. It’s common to see discrepancies between the two, especially before significant events or when new information emerges. Examining these differences can be insightful, as prediction markets can sometimes identify mispricings or anticipate shifts in public opinion more quickly than sportsbooks. However, it’s important to remember that both represent probabilities of an outcome.
This market resolves around Sep 13, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Specifically, the final point spread for the second quarter of the Iowa State vs Iowa game will be used to determine which contracts pay out. The resolution will be based on the official game statistics reported by a recognized sports data provider. Traders will be able to see the final result and any payouts on Kalshi shortly after the game concludes and the official results are available.
Several factors could influence the price of this market before it resolves. Any news regarding injuries to key players on either the Iowa State or Iowa teams would likely have a significant impact. Changes in weather conditions, particularly if they are expected to affect the style of play, could also move the market. Furthermore, any late-breaking news about team strategy or coaching decisions could influence trader sentiment. Public perception, reflected in polls or expert analysis, can also contribute to price fluctuations in this market.