TOTAL VOLUME:
$146.7b
24H VOL:
$162,970,420
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,781,800,361
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,740,912,349
501,518
Markets across
37,286
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,933
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
38%
VS.
Kalshi:
62%
Closed: Oct 10, 1:44 AM EST
Kalshi
This market tracks which team will win the college football game between Iowa State and BYU. Currently, Kalshi gives BYU a 96.0% probability of winning, while Iowa State is at 4.0%. The market resolves based on the outcome of the Iowa St. vs BYU college football game originally scheduled for October 9, 2026, as reported by the official game results. Keep an eye on the game itself, as the market will resolve to Yes if Iowa State wins the match scheduled for October 9, 2026, and will resolve to No if BYU wins.
The market resolves based on the winner of the Iowa State versus BYU college football game scheduled for October 9, 2026. If the game is postponed but starts within 48 hours of the original time, the market remains open and resolves according to the final official result. If the game is cancelled or fails to start within that 48-hour window, the market resolves to a fair price, ensuring equitable treatment for all participants under these contingency conditions.
Typically, prediction market odds offer a distinct perspective compared to traditional sportsbooks. While sportsbooks set lines to balance action and incorporate a profit margin, this market reflects the aggregated wisdom of traders who are incentivized to make accurate predictions. Often, prediction markets are considered more accurate forecasters of event outcomes, as traders’ money is on the line. However, sportsbook odds are readily available and widely publicized, providing a common benchmark for comparison, and sometimes initial discrepancies can be observed before converging as the event approaches.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing different outcomes. The price of each contract reflects the market’s assessment of the probability of that outcome occurring. As more traders buy into a particular outcome, its price increases, and the implied probability rises. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The platform uses a market maker system to ensure there’s always a bid and ask price available, allowing for continuous trading and price discovery. This dynamic pricing mechanism aims to provide a transparent and efficient way to forecast the result of the Iowa State vs BYU game.
This market resolves around Oct 10, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the final result of the Iowa State vs BYU game, as officially reported by a trusted sports data source. Traders who correctly predicted the outcome will receive a payout based on the final market price at resolution. It’s important to monitor the market leading up to this date, as prices can fluctuate significantly based on new information and changing perceptions.
Several signals or events could significantly impact this market. Any news regarding key player injuries, changes in coaching strategies, or unexpected weather conditions could all shift trader sentiment. Major upsets in other games involving these teams, or significant changes in public perception based on media coverage, could also influence prices. Furthermore, large trading volume from informed individuals or groups could create noticeable price movements. Monitoring these factors will be crucial for anyone looking to trade in this market before it resolves.