This event group covers a men's college basketball game between Iona Gaels and Niagara Purple Eagles scheduled for February 15, 2026 at 2:00 PM ET. Markets span moneyline (winner), multiple point spreads (-4.5, -5.5, -6.5), and multiple over/under totals (131.5, 132.5, 133.5).
Kalshi moneyline market contains a logical contradiction where both Niagara win and Iona win resolve to Yes, making the market fundamentally unresolvable. All other markets (spreads and totals) on both platforms are logically consistent.
Hero Tip:
Do not trade the Kalshi moneyline. Focus on Polymarket moneyline or any spread/total markets which have unified, consistent logic across both platforms. Contact Kalshi immediately to report the resolution logic error before the game settles.
Critical Divergence Points:
Kalshi: Moneyline market has contradictory resolution: both Niagara win and Iona win resolve to Yes. Quote: 'If Niagara wins... resolves to Yes. If Iona wins... resolves to Yes.' This is logically impossible and unresolvable.
Polymarket: Moneyline market has correct mutually exclusive resolution: Iona win resolves to Iona Gaels, Niagara win resolves to Niagara Purple Eagles. All spread and total markets also follow standard, consistent logic.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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