TOTAL VOLUME:
$53.9b
24H VOL:
$231,847,320
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,314,157,835
499,417
Markets across
14,310
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
1,754
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
51%
VS.
Kalshi:
49%
Iona Gaels vs. Manhattan Jaspers
Volume:
$606,614
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
A college basketball game between Iona Gaels and Manhattan Jaspers scheduled for March 1, 2026 at 2:00 PM ET. Multiple prediction markets across Polymarket and Kalshi track the moneyline winner, point spread outcomes, and total points scored.
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue:
Kalshi market contains a logical tautology: both possible game outcomes (Iona win or Manhattan win) trigger Yes resolution, rendering the market incapable of resolving No under normal circumstances. This is a data integrity failure that makes the market fundamentally unresolvable as designed.Hero Tip:
Avoid trading the Kalshi contract until clarification is obtained. The market as stated will resolve Yes for any completed game outcome, eliminating the predictive value of the contract. Polymarket moneyline, spread, and total markets are logically sound and should be used for this event.Critical Divergence Points:
- Polymarket: Six distinct markets (moneyline, two spreads, three totals) all resolve based on final score including overtime. Cancellation without makeup triggers 50-50 split. Postponement keeps market open. Resolution source is final official score.
- Kalshi: Single market resolves to Yes if either Iona wins OR Manhattan wins the game scheduled for Mar 1, 2026. No explicit No resolution condition is stated for game completion. This creates a tautology where any completed game results in Yes.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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