TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$113,466,932
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,423,222,590
402,751
Markets across
30,217
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,632
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Jul 4, 12:19 PM EST
Kalshi
Invasion and Habibis compete in the second map of their European Pro League 2026 Dota 2 match scheduled for July 4, 2026 at 9:00 AM EDT. The market resolves based on which team wins this individual map.
Resolution is determined by the outcome of map 2 in the Invasion vs. Habibis European Pro League 2026 Dota 2 match. The market resolves to Yes if either Invasion or Habibis wins the map, with each team having a corresponding market outcome. The match is originally scheduled for July 4, 2026 at 9:00 AM EDT.
Prediction markets and sportsbooks price outcomes differently. Sportsbooks set odds to balance their book and lock in profit margins, while prediction markets reflect aggregated trader beliefs through continuous price discovery. On this market, the odds emerge from real traders wagering capital, which often incorporates specialized esports knowledge and team-specific map performance data. Comparing the two can reveal where public sentiment diverges from professional oddsmakers, though each reflects distinct incentive structures and information sets.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order-book mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing each outcome. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The current odds reflect the balance between buyers and sellers; as new information emerges or match conditions shift, the price adjusts in real time. Traders can enter limit or market orders to express their conviction on Invasion's map 2 performance, and the spread between bid and ask prices indicates liquidity and consensus tightness around the outcome.
This market resolves around Jul 4, 2026, once the Invasion vs. Habibis map 2 match concludes and the result is verifiable from credible public sources. The outcome is determined by which team wins the map under the official tournament or league rules governing the match. Traders holding shares in the winning outcome receive their payout, while losing positions expire worthless. Resolution timing depends on the actual match schedule and any delays, with confirmation typically following shortly after the final map result is announced.
Several factors may shift odds before this market closes. Team roster changes, player substitutions, or injury announcements could alter perceived map strength. Recent performance data, scrim results, or public statements from coaches and players often influence trader positioning. Map-specific meta shifts, patch updates to the underlying game, or opponent preparation leaks may also trigger repricing. Closer to match day, lineup confirmations and pre-match analysis from esports commentators typically drive final adjustments as traders refine their conviction on Invasion's likelihood of securing map 2.