TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$133,388,117
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,436,095,462
405,232
Markets across
30,526
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,693
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 26, 8:32 PM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks various margin-based outcomes for an upcoming soccer match between Internacional and Paysandu. The focus is on determining whether the winning team achieves a specific goal differential threshold. The resolution depends entirely on the final score after regular time, excluding extra periods or penalty shootouts.
The event evaluates multiple possible winning margins in a single soccer match between Internacional and Paysandu scheduled for September 26, 2026, in the Brasileiro Serie C league. All outcomes are determined solely by the score after 90 minutes plus stoppage time; extra time and penalty kicks are irrelevant. Four distinct conditions are tested: Internacional winning by more than 2.5 goals, Internacional winning by more than 1.5 goals, Paysandu winning by more than 1.5 goals, and Paysandu winning by more than 2.5 goals. Any market resolving to 'Yes' occurs only if the specified team achieves the exact margin described in that market's primary rule within regular time. The operator explicitly disclaims any official affiliation with the governing league, and all associated trademarks remain property of their respective owners.
Prediction market odds often reflect the wisdom of the crowd, potentially differing from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and aim to balance action on both sides, while this market aggregates the beliefs of many individual traders. If a significant number of people believe a sportsbook is mispricing an outcome, you may see the prediction market odds diverge. It’s common to find that prediction markets are more accurate than traditional forecasts, especially when considering the collective intelligence at play.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing different outcomes. The price of a contract reflects the probability of that outcome occurring, as perceived by the market participants. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. Traders set the odds by placing bids and asks, and the market price adjusts dynamically based on supply and demand. The closer we get to the event, the more volatile the price may become as new information emerges and traders refine their predictions.
This market resolves around Sep 27, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final result of the Internacional vs Paysandu match will be used to determine which contracts pay out. The resolution will be based on the official result declared by the governing sports body, ensuring a transparent and verifiable process. Traders will be able to see the final outcome and any resulting payouts on Kalshi following the event's completion.
Several factors could influence the price of this market before Sep 27, 2026. Any news regarding player injuries, changes in team lineups, or unexpected coaching decisions could significantly shift trader sentiment. Match previews, expert analysis, and even weather forecasts could also play a role. Furthermore, significant betting activity – a large influx of buy or sell orders – could cause the price to move rapidly. Monitoring these signals can help you understand the evolving probabilities and potentially identify trading opportunities.