TOTAL VOLUME:
$134b
24H VOL:
$85,014,378
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,391,695,592
394,774
Markets across
30,069
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,615
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Jul 12, 12:01 PM EST
Kalshi
Internacional and Amazonas compete in a Brasileiro Serie C professional soccer match scheduled for July 12, 2026. The result is determined by the final score after 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time, excluding any extra time or penalty shootouts.
Resolution is based on the final outcome of the Internacional vs Amazonas Brasileiro Serie C match after 90 minutes plus stoppage time, with no consideration of extra time or penalties. The match result will be one of three outcomes: Internacional victory, Amazonas victory, or a tie. If the match is cancelled or rescheduled to more than two weeks away, the market resolves to a fair price in accordance with standard rules.
Prediction market odds and sportsbook odds often diverge because they reflect different participant bases and incentive structures. Sportsbooks set odds to balance liability and lock in profit margins, while prediction markets are driven by trader consensus and real-money risk. This market may show sharper or more volatile pricing than traditional sportsbooks, especially as match day approaches and new team news breaks. Comparing the two can reveal where public perception differs from bookmaker positioning, though both ultimately aim to reflect the true probability of the outcome.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order-book mechanism where traders submit bids and asks for shares representing each possible outcome. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The price of each share reflects the collective belief of all active traders at any given moment. As new information surfaces—team injuries, lineup changes, or expert analysis—traders adjust their positions, moving the price up or down. This dynamic pricing ensures the market stays responsive to real-world developments and incorporates the latest available intelligence about both teams.
This market resolves around Jul 12, 2026, once the match concludes and the result is verified against credible public sources. The outcome will reflect the final score and official match result as confirmed by authoritative sports reporting. Until that point, traders can continue to buy and sell shares as odds fluctuate based on pre-match developments, team announcements, and betting sentiment. Resolution is automatic once the event is complete and the data is confirmed.
Key catalysts include team roster announcements, injury updates for star players, recent form and head-to-head records, and expert predictions released closer to kickoff. Weather conditions and venue factors can also shift trader sentiment. Social media momentum, betting syndicate activity, and shifts in public confidence about either team's chances will influence prices in real time. Major upsets in related matches or unexpected coaching changes could trigger sharp repricing. Traders monitor all these signals to adjust their positions before the final whistle.