TOTAL VOLUME:
$134b
24H VOL:
$87,997,338
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,395,155,069
395,664
Markets across
30,076
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,626
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 14, 5:05 PM EST
Kalshi
This market on Kalshi asks whether Inter will win their Serie A match against Udinese by more than 1.5 goals. Currently, the probability of Inter achieving this outcome is 98.0%. The resolution source for this market is the final score of the Inter vs Udinese professional Serie A soccer game after 90 minutes plus stoppage time, as defined in the resolution rules. Keep an eye on the match itself, as the market will resolve based on the outcome of the game originally scheduled for September 14, 2026, with final resolution expected by September 15, 2026.
The event evaluates various winning margins in the Inter vs Udinese Serie A game scheduled for September 14, 2026. Four distinct outcomes are possible: Inter winning by more than 2.5 goals, Inter winning by more than 1.5 goals, Udinese winning by more than 1.5 goals, or Udinese winning by more than 2.5 goals. All resolutions are based solely on the score after 90 minutes plus stoppage time, with no consideration for extra time or penalty phases. The event operates independently of official league affiliations, and all trademarks remain property of their respective owners.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd, often differing from initial sportsbook offerings. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and aim to balance action on both sides, while this market allows anyone to express their belief about the outcome. As more people trade, the price tends to converge toward what many consider the true probability. It’s common to see discrepancies, particularly early on, as prediction markets can incorporate information and perspectives not immediately factored into traditional odds.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing their belief about the spread in the Inter vs Udinese match. The price of a contract reflects the probability of that spread occurring. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. Traders set the odds by placing bids and asks, and the market price fluctuates based on supply and demand. This dynamic pricing mechanism ensures that the market reflects the collective intelligence of all participants.
This market resolves around Sep 15, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the final spread of the Inter vs Udinese match is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result declared by the governing sports league. Traders who correctly predicted the spread will receive a payout based on the final price of the contracts at resolution. The platform will verify the outcome against established sources to ensure accuracy.
Several factors could influence the price of this market before Sep 15, 2026. Any news regarding injuries to key players on either Inter or Udinese would likely cause significant movement. Changes in team form, tactical adjustments, or even weather conditions could also impact trader sentiment. Unexpected announcements about player availability, or even significant shifts in public perception based on expert analysis, are all potential catalysts that could shift the price of contracts in this market.