TOTAL VOLUME:
$134b
24H VOL:
$107,351,958
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,416,970,024
400,720
Markets across
30,097
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,633
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Jul 22, 9:58 PM EST
Polymarket
More markets for the MLS game, scheduled for July 22 at 7:30 PM ET.
More markets for the MLS game, scheduled for July 22 at 7:30 PM ET.
Prediction market odds and traditional sportsbook odds often diverge because they reflect different participant bases and incentive structures. Sportsbooks set odds to balance liability and profit margin, while prediction markets are driven by trader consensus and real-money risk. This market aggregates thousands of independent forecasters, which can surface insights that sportsbooks lag on—especially for niche outcomes or late-breaking team news. Comparing the two can reveal where the crowd sees value that bookmakers have yet to adjust.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through an automated market maker that converts trader buy and sell orders into real-time probability quotes. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. Each outcome contract trades independently, so the price of one outcome directly reflects the implied probability of that result occurring. As more traders buy or sell a given outcome, the price moves up or down, and the market continuously reprices to reflect the latest consensus. This mechanism ensures transparent, friction-free pricing without intermediaries setting the odds.
This market resolves around Jul 22, 2026, once the match concludes and the result is verifiable from credible public sources. The outcome is determined by the final score and any official match records published by the league or governing body. Until that point, traders can buy and sell positions, and prices will fluctuate based on team news, injury updates, and live match developments. Resolution is automatic once the event is confirmed.
Key injury announcements, lineup changes, or tactical shifts by either side can trigger sharp repricing in this market. Weather conditions on match day, recent form streaks, and head-to-head records often influence trader positioning. Late team news—such as a star player's availability or unexpected roster moves—typically generates volume spikes and rapid odds adjustments. Additionally, broader league standings and playoff implications may sway sentiment if either team is fighting for a critical result. Live match events, including early goals or red cards, will also drive significant price movement.