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Inter Miami CF vs. Chicago Fire FC - First Team to Score
polymarket
kalshi

Who will score first: Inter Miami CF or Chicago Fire FC?

Volume:
$19,218

Chicago Fire

all

2 markets

Kalshi

Polymarket

consensus

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Jul 23, 2026

Closed: Jul 22, 8:01 PM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Chicago Fire

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$2,127
N/A
N/A
$1,783
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Chicago Fire FC

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$126
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

No Goal

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$14,559
N/A
N/A
$14,273
Settled
No
polymarket

Neither

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$1,398
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Inter Miami CF

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$805
N/A
N/A
$778
Settled
No
polymarket

Inter Miami CF

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$202
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
Total markets: 6

Description

This event group covers prediction markets on which team scores first in the Inter Miami CF vs. Chicago Fire FC MLS match scheduled for July 22, 2026 at 7:30 PM ET. Markets are offered across Polymarket and Kalshi with identical outcome options: Inter Miami CF, Chicago Fire FC, or Neither team scores.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Divergence Detected

Issue: Polymarket limits resolution to 90 minutes plus stoppage time, while Kalshi includes the entire match including extra time. This creates a scope divergence that affects outcomes only if the match proceeds to extra time.Hero tip: Monitor whether the match reaches extra time. If it does and a goal is scored in extra time, Polymarket and Kalshi will diverge. Position accordingly based on your platform exposure.

Critical divergence points:

  • Polymarket: Resolves on first goal within 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time only. Extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded from scope. If neither team scores in this window, market resolves to Neither regardless of extra time outcomes.
  • Kalshi: Resolves on first goal during entire game including regulation, stoppage, and any extra time periods. Scope is broader and includes all overtime play before penalties.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.

Polymarket

In the upcoming match between Inter Miami CF and Chicago Fire FC, scheduled for July 22, 2026 at 7:30 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Inter Miami CF" if Inter Miami CF are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. This market will resolve to "Chicago Fire FC" if Chicago Fire FC are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. If neither team scores within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time, this market will resolve "Neither". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to "Neither". This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. Extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome.

Kalshi

The market resolves based on which team records the first goal during the entire Inter Miami CF vs Chicago Fire professional MLS soccer game originally scheduled for July 22, 2026, including regulation, stoppage time, and any extra time periods. If the first goal is an own goal, the market resolves based on the team awarded the goal. The market can resolve to Inter Miami CF scoring first, Chicago Fire scoring first, or no goal being scored at all.

Frequently asked questions

The first goal scorer market aggregates trader predictions across Polymarket and Kalshi on which team will score first in the Inter Miami CF versus Chicago Fire FC matchup. This market lets you track real-time odds and trading volume as bettors weigh team form, lineup strength, and tactical advantages leading up to kickoff. By monitoring both venues, you gain insight into how different prediction communities assess the likelihood of each outcome, revealing consensus views and spotting divergences that may signal value.

Prediction markets operate on continuous trading rather than fixed lines, meaning odds shift with every trade as new information emerges. Unlike traditional sportsbooks, these venues aggregate decentralized participant opinion in real time, often reflecting sharper, faster-moving assessments of game dynamics. Sportsbooks manage risk through margin and limits; prediction markets rely on liquidity and participant diversity. For this matchup, comparing the two reveals whether professional oddsmakers and crowd wisdom align or diverge on which team breaks the deadlock first.

Polymarket and Kalshi can show different implied probabilities for the same outcome because of liquidity, fee structure, participant mix, and how each venue defines the contract. Each platform attracts different trader demographics, liquidity pools, and fee structures, all of which influence how prices settle. Polymarket and Kalshi may weight recent team performance, injury reports, or head-to-head history differently based on their user base's expertise and risk appetite. Arbitrage opportunities can emerge when one venue lags in incorporating breaking news, creating temporary price gaps. Monitoring both helps you identify which platform's consensus feels most reliable for this specific event.

Key catalysts include official team lineups, injury announcements, and weather conditions closer to match day. Tactical shifts, such as a team deploying an aggressive formation or resting key attacking players, often trigger sharp price moves. Recent form streaks, head-to-head history, and venue advantage can also sway trader sentiment. Breaking news on player availability or coaching changes may prompt sudden repricing. Monitor both platforms for volume spikes, which often signal informed traders acting on fresh intelligence before the broader market catches up.