TOTAL VOLUME:
$134b
24H VOL:
$107,351,958
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,416,970,024
400,720
Markets across
30,097
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,633
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Jul 22, 10:04 PM EST
Polymarket
This event group covers the exact final score of an MLS match between Inter Miami CF and Chicago Fire FC scheduled for July 22, 2026 at 7:30 PM ET. Polymarket offers granular exact-score outcomes (0-0 through 3-3 plus 'Any Other Score'), while Kalshi provides spread-based win-margin markets. Both resolve on the 90-minute regulation result plus stoppage time, excluding extra time and penalties.
In the upcoming MLS game between Inter Miami CF and Chicago Fire FC, scheduled for July 22, 2026 at 7:30 PM ET: This market will resolve based on the final score of the Inter Miami CF vs. Chicago Fire FC match originally scheduled for July 22, 2026 at 7:30 PM ET, considering only the result at the end of 90 minutes of regulation plus stoppage time; extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. If the actual score is not one of the explicitly listed outcomes, the market resolves to "Any Other Score." If the match is postponed, the market will remain open until it is completed; if it is canceled with no make-up game, the market resolves to "0-0." The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome.
Resolution is based on the final goal differential in the Miami vs Chicago Fire professional MLS soccer game originally scheduled for July 22, 2026, measured after 90 minutes plus stoppage time (excluding extra time or penalties). Markets resolve Yes if Miami wins by more than 2.5 or 1.5 goals, or if Chicago Fire wins by more than 1.5 or 2.5 goals respectively. Each spread threshold operates independently, allowing bettors to take positions on different victory margin scenarios for either team.
Prediction markets and sportsbooks price outcomes differently because they operate under distinct incentive structures. Sportsbooks set odds to balance liability and extract a margin, adjusting lines to manage risk rather than discover truth. Prediction markets, by contrast, rely on traders risking real capital to express genuine beliefs about outcomes. This often results in sharper, less biased pricing in prediction venues, especially for niche outcomes like exact scores where sportsbook margins are widest. Comparing this market's odds to traditional sportsbook lines can reveal mispricings and edge opportunities for informed bettors.
Team news—injuries, roster changes, or tactical shifts—can significantly reprrice exact score odds, since missing key players alters expected goal output. Recent form, head-to-head history, and weather conditions on match day all influence trader positioning. Major lineup announcements or unexpected absences often trigger sharp moves in this market. Additionally, early match action (goals in the opening minutes) typically causes rapid repricing as traders update their models based on live information. Monitoring team social media, injury reports, and pre-match press conferences helps traders stay ahead of market moves.