TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$126,324,530
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,434,646,834
406,019
Markets across
30,401
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,689
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Jul 22, 10:26 PM EST
Polymarket
This market tracks whether Inter Miami CF will win their upcoming MLS game against Chicago Fire FC. On Polymarket, the current probability that Inter Miami CF will win is 100%. The result will be settled based on official MLS scores from mlssoccer.com. The decisive match takes place on Wednesday, July 22, 2026, which will determine the outcome of this market.
This event is for the upcoming MLS game, scheduled for Wednesday, July 22, 2026 between Inter Miami CF and Chicago Fire FC.
Prediction market odds and sportsbook odds often diverge because they reflect different mechanisms. Sportsbooks set lines to balance action and protect their margin, while prediction markets derive prices from trader supply and demand. In this market, the odds you see represent what thousands of independent traders believe will happen, rather than a bookmaker's calculated spread. Prediction markets tend to aggregate dispersed information efficiently, sometimes offering sharper or more contrarian views than traditional sportsbooks. Comparing the two can reveal where consensus differs and highlight potential value.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through an automated market maker that converts trader orders into real-time odds. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. Traders buy and sell shares of each outcome, and the price of each share reflects the collective probability assigned by the market. As more traders back a particular result, its price rises; conversely, reduced interest lowers the price. The top outcome currently reflects strong market conviction. This continuous price discovery mechanism ensures that odds adjust dynamically based on new information and shifting trader sentiment right up until the market closes.
This market resolves around Jul 22, 2026, once the match concludes and the result is verifiable from credible public reporting. The outcome will be confirmed based on the final score and official match records. Until that time, traders can continue to buy and sell shares as new information emerges—team news, injury updates, or betting trends may all influence prices. The resolution process is designed to be transparent and based on widely available, authoritative sources so that all participants can trust the final settlement.
Several factors could shift odds before the match kicks off. Team news—such as injuries to key players, lineup changes, or tactical announcements—often triggers sharp price moves. Recent form, head-to-head history, and home-field advantage are continuously priced in, so unexpected results from either team's prior games can reshape expectations. Weather conditions and venue factors may also influence trader positioning. As the match date approaches, late-breaking developments and shifts in public sentiment can cause rapid repricing. Monitoring these signals helps traders anticipate where the market may move next.