TOTAL VOLUME:
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2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,438,389,636
404,028
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PLATFORM COVERAGE:
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Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Jul 22, 9:41 PM EST
Kalshi
This market predicts the exact final score of the Inter Miami CF vs Chicago Fire MLS soccer match on July 22, 2026. The outcome is determined by the score after 90 minutes of regulation play plus stoppage time, excluding any extra time or penalty shootouts.
The market resolves based on the final score of the Inter Miami CF vs Chicago Fire professional MLS soccer game originally scheduled for July 22, 2026, measured after 90 minutes plus stoppage time. Extra time and penalties are not included in the resolution. Each possible correct score outcome—including draws and wins for either team with scores ranging from 0-0 through 5-2—resolves to Yes if that exact final score is achieved.
Prediction market odds and traditional sportsbook odds often diverge because they reflect different participant pools and incentive structures. Sportsbooks set lines to balance action and protect their margin, while prediction markets like this one are driven by traders risking real capital on their forecasts. This market aggregates the collective judgment of many independent participants, which can sometimes surface insights that lag in conventional betting markets. Comparing the two can reveal where public perception differs from bookmaker pricing, though both sources offer valuable context for understanding the matchup.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through continuous order-book trading, where buyers and sellers submit bids and asks for each correct-score outcome. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. Prices reflect the real-time balance of supply and demand; if more traders believe a 2–1 result is likely, its price rises relative to other scorelines. The platform charges no fees on winning positions, which encourages active participation and tighter spreads. You can place limit or market orders to enter or exit positions at any time before the market closes, and your profit or loss is determined by the difference between your entry and exit prices.
This market resolves around Jul 23, 2026, once the Inter Miami versus Chicago Fire match concludes and the final score is verified against credible public sources. The outcome is determined by the official scoreline at the end of regulation time, including any injury time added by the referee. No extra time or penalty shootout results factor into the resolution. Traders holding positions in the correct final score receive their payout automatically, while all other outcomes expire worthless.
Team news and lineup announcements typically drive significant price movement in this market. Injuries to key players, unexpected roster changes, or tactical shifts disclosed before kickoff can reshape expectations about scoring patterns. Weather conditions at match time may also influence outcomes, as rain or wind can affect passing accuracy and goal-scoring frequency. Additionally, early match action—such as an early goal or red card—will shift prices sharply as traders update their forecasts. Monitor official team social media and sports news outlets for updates that could alter the probability of specific scorelines.