TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$134,145,987
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,441,166,947
406,422
Markets across
30,383
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,688
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Jul 14, 2:00 PM EST
Polymarket
In the upcoming UEFA Champions League game between Inter Club d'Escaldes and Lincoln Red Imps FC, scheduled for July 14, 2026 at 2:00 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Inter Club d'Escaldes" if Inter Club d'Escaldes score more goals than Lincoln Red Imps FC in the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. This market will resolve to "Draw" if Inter Club d'Escaldes and Lincoln Red Imps FC score the same number of goals in the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. This market will resolve to "Lincoln Red Imps FC" if Lincoln Red Imps FC score more goals than Inter Club d'Escaldes in the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to "Draw". This market refers only to the outcome within the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. First-half goals, extra time, and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome.
In the upcoming UEFA Champions League game between Inter Club d'Escaldes and Lincoln Red Imps FC, scheduled for July 14, 2026 at 2:00 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Inter Club d'Escaldes" if Inter Club d'Escaldes score more goals than Lincoln Red Imps FC in the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. This market will resolve to "Draw" if Inter Club d'Escaldes and Lincoln Red Imps FC score the same number of goals in the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. This market will resolve to "Lincoln Red Imps FC" if Lincoln Red Imps FC score more goals than Inter Club d'Escaldes in the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to "Draw". This market refers only to the outcome within the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. First-half goals, extra time, and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome.
Prediction market odds and sportsbook odds often diverge because they reflect different participant bases and incentive structures. Sportsbooks set lines to balance action and manage risk, while prediction markets aggregate the beliefs of traders who profit from accuracy. For this match's second half, sportsbook odds may emphasize historical team performance and injury reports, whereas traders here incorporate real-time momentum, live match dynamics, and crowd sentiment. Comparing the two can reveal where professional bookmakers and decentralized traders disagree on the true probability.
On Polymarket, traders set prices through an automated market maker (AMM) mechanism, where the cost of each outcome share reflects its implied probability. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. Prices adjust continuously as traders buy and sell, with each transaction moving the odds based on the depth of liquidity available. The more capital committed to one outcome, the higher its price rises, incentivizing arbitrage and balancing. This dynamic pricing ensures the market reflects the collective forecast of all active participants in real time.
This market resolves around Jul 14, 2026, once the second half of the match concludes and the result is verifiable from credible public reporting. The outcome is determined by the official final score and result recorded for that half—whether one team scores more goals, or the half ends in a draw. Resolution occurs after the event is confirmed through established sports data sources, ensuring accuracy and fairness for all traders.
Several catalysts can shift odds before this market closes. Team news—injuries, suspensions, or lineup changes announced before kickoff—often triggers sharp repricing. Early first-half momentum and goals can reshape expectations for the second half, as traders update their forecasts based on live match flow. Weather conditions, referee decisions, and tactical adjustments made at halftime also influence sentiment. Additionally, any breaking news about player availability or external circumstances affecting either club may prompt rapid trading activity and price swings.