This event group covers a professional Argentina Primera Division soccer match between Instituto AC Córdoba and CA Independiente scheduled for March 16, 2026. Three markets across Polymarket and Kalshi assess the outcome: whether Independiente wins, whether Instituto wins, and whether the match ends in a draw.
Unified Resolution Criteria (Consistent across platforms)
Both Polymarket and Kalshi apply identical resolution logic: match outcome determined by official AFA statistics after 90 minutes plus stoppage time, with consistent handling of postponements and cancellations.
Primary resolution logic:
Argentine Football Association (AFA) official statistics at afa.com.ar; credible reporting consensus if AFA does not publish within 2 hours of match conclusion
Core resolution logic:
Match outcome resolved based on final score after 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time only
Independiente win market resolves Yes if Independiente scores more goals than Instituto
Instituto win market resolves Yes if Instituto scores more goals than Independiente
Draw market resolves Yes if both teams score equal goals
Extra time and penalty shootouts are excluded from resolution scope
Edge cases & Clarifications:
Match Postponement: If match is postponed, all markets remain open until the game is completed and final score is available
Match Cancellation: If match is canceled entirely with no makeup game scheduled, Independiente and Instituto win markets resolve No, while the draw market resolves Yes
Source Delay: If AFA does not publish official statistics within 2 hours after match conclusion, resolution uses consensus of credible reporting sources
Timing:
Resolution occurs after match completion and official AFA publication of final statistics, or within 2 hours post-match if using credible reporting consensus
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
Follow the signals, not the noise
Get insights on market conviction, notable shifts, and what the data is quietly signaling.