TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$126,324,530
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,434,646,834
406,019
Markets across
30,401
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,689
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Jul 8, 2:30 PM EST
Kalshi
Inner Circle and Team Yandex compete in the first map of their Dota 2 match at the Esports World Cup 2026, scheduled for July 8, 2026 at 12:30 PM EDT. The winner of this individual map advances their position in the tournament.
Resolution is determined by the outcome of Map 1 in the Esports World Cup 2026 Inner Circle vs. Team Yandex Dota 2 match scheduled for July 8, 2026 at 12:30 PM EDT. The market resolves to Yes for whichever team wins the map.
Prediction market odds and sportsbook odds often diverge because they reflect different participant bases and incentive structures. Sportsbooks set lines to balance action and lock in profit margins, while prediction markets aggregate the beliefs of traders risking real capital. This market's odds may lead or lag sportsbook lines depending on which venue attracts sharper action first. Comparing the two can reveal where informed traders see value, though neither is guaranteed to be more accurate than the other.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through an order-book mechanism where traders submit bids and offers for shares representing each possible outcome. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The price of each outcome reflects the marginal trade—the last executed order—and converges toward the true probability as more information arrives and liquidity deepens. You can place limit or market orders to enter or exit your position, and the spread between bid and ask widens or narrows based on trading activity and uncertainty.
This market resolves around Jul 8, 2026, once the match concludes and the result is verifiable from credible public reporting. The outcome is determined by the final score and official match result on Map 1. Until that time, traders can continue to buy and sell shares as new information—team roster updates, recent form, or pre-match analysis—becomes available. Resolution typically occurs within hours of the match ending.
Key catalysts include roster announcements or player substitutions, recent tournament results and head-to-head records, and expert analysis or team statements released before the match. Injury reports, coaching changes, or equipment issues can also shift trader sentiment. As the match approaches, live pre-game commentary and betting action on traditional sportsbooks may influence prediction market prices. During the map itself, early round outcomes and team economy can trigger sharp repricing if one side gains a decisive advantage.