TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
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OPEN INTEREST:
$1,440,096,988
406,065
Markets across
30,522
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,692
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 20, 7:09 PM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks the outcome of a professional soccer match between Indy Eleven and Oakland Roots SC, focusing on the margin of victory for either team. The result depends on how many goals separate the winning team from the losing team at the end of regular time, excluding any extra time or penalty shootouts.
The event resolves based on the goal differential between Indy Eleven and Oakland Roots SC in their scheduled USL Championship match on September 20, 2026, after 90 minutes plus stoppage time. Four distinct outcomes are possible: Indy Eleven winning by more than 2.5 goals, Indy Eleven winning by more than 1.5 goals, Oakland Roots SC winning by more than 1.5 goals, or Oakland Roots SC winning by more than 2.5 goals. Each outcome corresponds to a separate market that resolves to 'Yes' if the specified condition is met. All markets are independent and resolve solely based on regular-time results, with no consideration for extra time, penalty kicks, or other post-regulation proceedings. Kalshi explicitly disclaims any official affiliation with the governing league, and all trademarks remain the property of their respective owners.
Prediction market odds often reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse group of traders, potentially offering a different perspective than traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set their lines based on statistical models and expert analysis, while this market allows anyone to express their beliefs about the outcome. Discrepancies can arise due to differing information, biases, or simply varying interpretations of the same data. It’s common to see prediction market odds move independently of sportsbook odds, especially as new information becomes available or as the event draws closer.
This market resolves around Sep 21, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the final spread of the Indy Eleven vs Oakland Roots SC match, as determined by official match results. Traders will be able to see the final result and whether their predictions were accurate once the event concludes and the information is publicly available. The platform will verify the outcome against established sports data sources.
Several factors could influence this market before resolution. Any news regarding player injuries, changes in team lineups, or weather conditions impacting the match could shift trader sentiment. Unexpected announcements about team strategy or coaching changes could also play a role. Furthermore, significant betting activity, even from a small number of traders, can cause price fluctuations. Public opinion and analysis from sports commentators might also indirectly affect trading behavior and, consequently, the market’s price.