TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$130,522,377
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,438,389,636
404,028
Markets across
30,214
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,681
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 26, 8:58 PM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks the total number of goals scored in an upcoming professional soccer match between Indy Eleven and Miami. The outcome depends on whether the combined goals exceed specific thresholds. It reflects the excitement of predicting high-scoring moments in the game.
The event resolves based on the total number of goals scored during the regular 90 minutes plus any added stoppage time in the Indy Eleven vs Miami USL Championship match scheduled for September 26, 2026. Extra time and penalty kicks are excluded from the count. Multiple outcome thresholds (ranging from over 0.5 to over 5.5 goals) determine resolution, with each threshold representing a distinct level of scoring intensity. All markets share the same underlying rule framework and are independent of league affiliations, as noted in the secondary disclaimer regarding Kalshi’s lack of official connection to the governing league. Trademarks and branding remain the property of their respective owners.
Generally, prediction market odds often reflect the wisdom of the crowd, potentially offering a different perspective than traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and aim to balance action on both sides, while this market is driven by individuals freely trading contracts based on their own beliefs. This can lead to discrepancies, particularly when public sentiment strongly diverges from the sportsbook's initial assessment. It’s common to see this market incorporate information and analysis that isn’t immediately reflected in sportsbook odds.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing different total goal outcomes. The price of each contract reflects the probability of that outcome occurring, as perceived by the market participants. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders buy contracts for a specific outcome, its price increases, indicating a higher perceived probability. Conversely, selling pressure lowers the price. This dynamic pricing mechanism allows the market to efficiently aggregate information and generate a forecast for the total goals scored in the Indy Eleven vs Miami match.
This market resolves around Sep 27, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the final score of the Indy Eleven vs Miami match is verifiable from credible public reporting. The total goals scored in the official match, as reported by a recognized sports data provider, will determine the winning contract. Any goals scored during regulation time or added time will be counted towards the total. The resolution will be based on the official match result and confirmed through publicly available sources.
Several factors could influence trading activity in this market. News regarding key player injuries or suspensions for either the Indy Eleven or Miami would likely cause significant movement. Changes in weather conditions, particularly if they are expected to impact the style of play, could also shift the market. Late-breaking team news, such as starting lineup announcements, and any significant shifts in public perception regarding the teams’ offensive capabilities could all contribute to price fluctuations in this market leading up to the match.